Birmingham
Birmingham are 7th in the Championship with 20 points from 12 games (5 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats), having scored 20 and conceded 12.
They average 1.70 expected goals for and 1.38 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 9th of 24 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Birmingham to finish with about 68 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 10% of a top-four finish and 0% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: away at Lincoln on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Birmingham a 35% chance of winning.
9 / 24GOSSIPBALL rating rank
1.70xG per game
1.38xG against per game
33%clean sheets
67.6expected final points
0.1%chance to win the league
Next matches
Lincoln
Birmingham
Win probability: home 38%, draw 27%, away 35%
Likeliest score 1–1
Birmingham vs Millwall prediction (Championship):
Birmingham
Millwall
Win probability: home 39%, draw 29%, away 32%
Likeliest score 1–1
Birmingham vs Swansea prediction (Championship):
Birmingham
Swansea
Win probability: home 43%, draw 28%, away 29%
Likeliest score 1–1
Results this season
24 Oct
Cardiff1
Birmingham0
Upset
Win probability: home 33%, draw 26%, away 40%
3.0–1.0match xG
Birmingham 3–0 QPR result and stats:
17 Oct
Birmingham3
QPR0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 48%, draw 26%, away 25%
1.3–1.1match xG
Birmingham 4–0 Preston result and stats:
13 Oct
Birmingham4
Preston0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 49%, draw 27%, away 24%
2.2–0.5match xG
West Brom 0–1 Birmingham result and stats:
10 Oct
West Brom0
Birmingham1
Upset
Win probability: home 41%, draw 30%, away 30%
1.1–2.5match xG
Birmingham 2–2 Middlesbrough result and stats:
19 Sep
Birmingham2
Middlesbrough2
Upset
Win probability: home 34%, draw 27%, away 39%
1.2–2.1match xG
Derby 1–2 Birmingham result and stats:
12 Sep
Derby1
Birmingham2
Upset
Win probability: home 42%, draw 28%, away 30%
1.1–3.2match xG
Norwich 2–1 Birmingham result and stats:
9 Sep
Norwich2
Birmingham1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 47%, draw 26%, away 27%
1.0–1.6match xG
Birmingham 2–2 Wolves result and stats:
6 Sep
Birmingham2
Wolves2
Upset
Win probability: home 33%, draw 24%, away 43%
1.4–2.5match xG
Birmingham 1–1 Southampton result and stats:
1 Sep
Birmingham1
Southampton1
Upset
Win probability: home 30%, draw 26%, away 44%
1.6–1.0match xG
Wrexham 1–2 Birmingham result and stats:
28 Aug
Wrexham1
Birmingham2
Upset
Win probability: home 47%, draw 26%, away 27%
1.4–1.6match xG
Birmingham 2–2 Bristol City result and stats:
22 Aug
Birmingham2
Bristol City2
Upset
Win probability: home 41%, draw 29%, away 30%
2.0–1.4match xG
Sheffield United 0–0 Birmingham result and stats:
15 Aug
Sheffield United0
Birmingham0
Upset
Win probability: home 50%, draw 26%, away 24%
0.3–0.8match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored1.67
Goals conceded1.00
Expected goals (xG)1.70
xG against1.38
Shots13.2
Shots on target4.6
Shots on target against3.7
Conversion (goals per shot on target)36%
Corners5.5
Fouls12.8
Yellow cards2.08
Red cards0.00
Clean sheets33%
Both teams scored58%
3 or more goals67%
Failed to score17%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)+0.02
Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.07
Overall+0.09