Birmingham vs Southampton result and stats
Win probability: home 30%, draw 26%, away 44%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBirmingham and Southampton drew 1–1 in the Championship on Tuesday 1 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Birmingham 30%, the draw 26% and Southampton 44%, so a draw had a 26% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Birmingham 1.55, Southampton 1.02, so Birmingham created the better chances. Birmingham had 16 shots (4 on target) to Southampton's 13 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BISO
1.55Expected goals1.02
16Shots13
4On target4
3Corners5
12Fouls8
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: A Backhouse
Recent form
Birmingham
W @ Wrexham2–1 · 28 Aug
D v Bristol City2–2 · 22 Aug
D @ Sheffield United0–0 · 15 Aug
D @ Portsmouth1–1 · 2 May
W v Bristol City2–1 · 25 Apr
Southampton
W v Millwall5–1 · 29 Aug
W v Stoke3–1 · 22 Aug
L @ Watford1–2 · 16 Aug
W @ Preston3–1 · 2 May
D v Ipswich2–2 · 28 Apr
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Birmingham won 0, Southampton won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 29 Dec 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Birmingham 1–1 Southampton29 Dec 2025
Southampton 3–1 Birmingham6 Dec 2025
Birmingham 3–4 Southampton2 Mar 2024
Southampton 3–1 Birmingham28 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
BISO
1.67Goals2.00
1.00Conceded1.00
1.70xG1.77
1.38xG against1.30
13.2Shots15.2
4.6On target4.6
5.5Corners5.1
2.08Yellow cards1.92
33%Clean sheets25%
58%Both score75%
67%3+ goals58%