Cardiff vs Birmingham result and stats
Win probability: home 33%, draw 26%, away 40%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersCardiff beat Birmingham 1–0 at home in the Championship on Saturday 24 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Cardiff 33%, the draw 26% and Birmingham 40%, so a home win had a 33% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Cardiff 2.97, Birmingham 1.04, so Cardiff created the better chances. Cardiff had 16 shots (4 on target) to Birmingham's 7 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
CABI
2.97Expected goals1.04
16Shots7
4On target2
3Corners3
10Fouls19
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: T Robinson
Recent form
Cardiff
D @ Middlesbrough2–2 · 17 Oct
W v Watford5–1 · 13 Oct
L @ Blackburn1–2 · 10 Oct
W v Charlton3–1 · 19 Sep
L @ Bolton0–1 · 12 Sep
Birmingham
W v QPR3–0 · 17 Oct
W v Preston4–0 · 13 Oct
W @ West Brom1–0 · 10 Oct
D v Middlesbrough2–2 · 19 Sep
W @ Derby2–1 · 12 Sep
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Cardiff won 3, Birmingham won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 Apr 2024, finished Birmingham 0–1 Cardiff, a win for Cardiff.
Birmingham 0–1 Cardiff10 Apr 2024
Cardiff 0–1 Birmingham13 Dec 2023
Birmingham 0–2 Cardiff14 Feb 2023
Cardiff 1–0 Birmingham13 Aug 2022
Cardiff 1–1 Birmingham30 Apr 2022
Birmingham 2–2 Cardiff11 Dec 2021
Season averages per game
CABI
1.58Goals1.67
1.42Conceded1.00
1.93xG1.70
1.67xG against1.38
17.1Shots13.2
5.9On target4.6
6.8Corners5.5
1.75Yellow cards2.08
8%Clean sheets33%
75%Both score58%
58%3+ goals67%