Birmingham vs Bristol City result and stats
Win probability: home 41%, draw 29%, away 30%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBirmingham and Bristol City drew 2–2 in the Championship on Saturday 22 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Birmingham 41%, the draw 29% and Bristol City 30%, so a draw had a 29% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Birmingham 1.97, Bristol City 1.42, so Birmingham created the better chances. Birmingham had 8 shots (2 on target) to Bristol City's 14 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BIBC
1.97Expected goals1.42
8Shots14
2On target6
7Corners3
13Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Referee: W Finnie
Recent form
Birmingham
D @ Sheffield United0–0 · 15 Aug
D @ Portsmouth1–1 · 2 May
W v Bristol City2–1 · 25 Apr
W v Preston2–1 · 22 Apr
D @ Hull1–1 · 18 Apr
Bristol City
L v Millwall0–2 · 15 Aug
W v Stoke2–0 · 2 May
L @ Birmingham1–2 · 25 Apr
D @ Southampton2–2 · 21 Apr
L v Norwich2–4 · 18 Apr
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Birmingham won 5, Bristol City won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Birmingham 2–1 Bristol City, a win for Birmingham.
Birmingham 2–1 Bristol City25 Apr 2026
Bristol City 1–0 Birmingham25 Oct 2025
Birmingham 0–0 Bristol City29 Dec 2023
Bristol City 0–2 Birmingham19 Aug 2023
Bristol City 4–2 Birmingham14 Jan 2023
Birmingham 3–0 Bristol City8 Oct 2022
Season averages per game
BIBC
1.67Goals1.00
1.00Conceded1.25
1.70xG1.30
1.38xG against1.34
13.2Shots13.5
4.6On target4.0
5.5Corners5.5
2.08Yellow cards1.33
33%Clean sheets17%
58%Both score50%
67%3+ goals42%