Wrexham vs Birmingham result and stats
Win probability: home 47%, draw 26%, away 27%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBirmingham won 2–1 away at Wrexham in the Championship on Friday 28 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Wrexham 47%, the draw 26% and Birmingham 27%, so an away win had a 27% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Wrexham 1.42, Birmingham 1.63, so Birmingham created the better chances. Wrexham had 9 shots (4 on target) to Birmingham's 9 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
WRBI
1.42Expected goals1.63
9Shots9
4On target4
3Corners6
8Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: R Jones
Recent form
Wrexham
D v Watford1–1 · 22 Aug
D @ Cardiff1–1 · 17 Aug
D v Middlesbrough2–2 · 2 May
L @ Coventry1–3 · 26 Apr
W @ Oxford1–0 · 21 Apr
Birmingham
D v Bristol City2–2 · 22 Aug
D @ Sheffield United0–0 · 15 Aug
D @ Portsmouth1–1 · 2 May
W v Bristol City2–1 · 25 Apr
W v Preston2–1 · 22 Apr
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Wrexham won 0, Birmingham won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, finished Birmingham 2–0 Wrexham, a win for Birmingham.
Birmingham 2–0 Wrexham12 Apr 2026
Wrexham 1–1 Birmingham3 Oct 2025
Season averages per game
WRBI
1.25Goals1.67
1.50Conceded1.00
1.16xG1.70
1.21xG against1.38
12.5Shots13.2
3.5On target4.6
5.5Corners5.5
1.33Yellow cards2.08
17%Clean sheets33%
67%Both score58%
50%3+ goals67%