Wrexham
Wrexham are 17th in the Championship with 14 points from 12 games (3 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats), having scored 15 and conceded 18.
They average 1.16 expected goals for and 1.21 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 10th of 24 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Wrexham to finish with about 61 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 2% of a top-four finish and 4% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: away at Sheffield United on Friday 30 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Wrexham a 29% chance of winning.
10 / 24GOSSIPBALL rating rank
1.16xG per game
1.21xG against per game
17%clean sheets
61.1expected final points
0.0%chance to win the league
Next matches
Sheffield United
Wrexham
Win probability: home 46%, draw 25%, away 29%
Likeliest score 1–1
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction (Championship):
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
Win probability: home 34%, draw 25%, away 41%
Likeliest score 1–1
Wrexham vs Wolves prediction (Championship):
Wrexham
Wolves
Win probability: home 30%, draw 26%, away 44%
Likeliest score 1–1
Results this season
24 Oct
Blackburn2
Wrexham0
Upset
Win probability: home 35%, draw 28%, away 37%
1.4–1.6match xG
Wrexham 4–1 Preston result and stats:
17 Oct
Wrexham4
Preston1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 52%, draw 25%, away 23%
1.7–0.9match xG
Wrexham 1–2 West Brom result and stats:
13 Oct
Wrexham1
West Brom2
Upset
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%
0.4–0.9match xG
Derby 1–1 Wrexham result and stats:
10 Oct
Derby1
Wrexham1
Upset
Win probability: home 41%, draw 26%, away 33%
0.6–1.5match xG
Wrexham 2–1 Southampton result and stats:
19 Sep
Wrexham2
Southampton1
Upset
Win probability: home 34%, draw 23%, away 43%
0.5–2.1match xG
West Ham 6–0 Wrexham result and stats:
11 Sep
West Ham6
Wrexham0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 55%, draw 21%, away 24%
3.0–0.4match xG
Wrexham 1–1 Burnley result and stats:
8 Sep
Wrexham1
Burnley1
Upset
Win probability: home 23%, draw 27%, away 49%
1.4–1.5match xG
Swansea 0–0 Wrexham result and stats:
5 Sep
Swansea0
Wrexham0
Upset
Win probability: home 42%, draw 26%, away 32%
0.7–0.7match xG
Millwall 0–3 Wrexham result and stats:
2 Sep
Millwall0
Wrexham3
Upset
Win probability: home 48%, draw 26%, away 26%
0.2–0.9match xG
Wrexham 1–2 Birmingham result and stats:
28 Aug
Wrexham1
Birmingham2
Upset
Win probability: home 47%, draw 26%, away 27%
1.4–1.6match xG
Wrexham 1–1 Watford result and stats:
22 Aug
Wrexham1
Watford1
Upset
Win probability: home 52%, draw 24%, away 24%
1.9–0.7match xG
Cardiff 1–1 Wrexham result and stats:
17 Aug
Cardiff1
Wrexham1
Upset
Win probability: home 31%, draw 25%, away 44%
0.9–1.6match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored1.25
Goals conceded1.50
Expected goals (xG)1.16
xG against1.21
Shots12.5
Shots on target3.5
Shots on target against4.1
Conversion (goals per shot on target)36%
Corners5.5
Fouls10.6
Yellow cards1.33
Red cards0.00
Clean sheets17%
Both teams scored67%
3 or more goals50%
Failed to score25%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)+0.11
Defence (positive = concedes less)-0.05
Overall+0.07