Derby vs Wrexham result and stats
Win probability: home 41%, draw 26%, away 33%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersDerby and Wrexham drew 1–1 in the Championship on Saturday 10 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Derby 41%, the draw 26% and Wrexham 33%, so a draw had a 26% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Derby 0.60, Wrexham 1.46, so Wrexham created the better chances. Derby had 10 shots (4 on target) to Wrexham's 13 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
DEWR
0.60Expected goals1.46
10Shots13
4On target3
1Corners8
10Fouls6
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: M Donohue
Recent form
Derby
D @ Burnley1–1 · 19 Sep
L v Birmingham1–2 · 12 Sep
L v West Brom0–1 · 9 Sep
L @ West Ham0–3 · 5 Sep
W @ Portsmouth2–0 · 1 Sep
Wrexham
W v Southampton2–1 · 19 Sep
L @ West Ham0–6 · 11 Sep
D v Burnley1–1 · 8 Sep
D @ Swansea0–0 · 5 Sep
W @ Millwall3–0 · 2 Sep
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Derby won 0, Wrexham won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 4 Jan 2026, finished Derby 1–2 Wrexham, a win for Wrexham.
Derby 1–2 Wrexham4 Jan 2026
Wrexham 1–1 Derby27 Sep 2025
Season averages per game
DEWR
0.83Goals1.25
1.75Conceded1.50
0.98xG1.16
1.76xG against1.21
12.6Shots12.5
3.8On target3.5
5.7Corners5.5
2.42Yellow cards1.33
8%Clean sheets17%
58%Both score67%
50%3+ goals50%