Wrexham vs Watford result and stats
Win probability: home 52%, draw 24%, away 24%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersWrexham and Watford drew 1–1 in the Championship on Saturday 22 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Wrexham 52%, the draw 24% and Watford 24%, so a draw had a 24% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Wrexham 1.92, Watford 0.65, so Wrexham created the better chances. Wrexham had 12 shots (2 on target) to Watford's 10 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
WRWA
1.92Expected goals0.65
12Shots10
2On target6
10Corners3
13Fouls11
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Referee: J Busby
Recent form
Wrexham
D @ Cardiff1–1 · 17 Aug
D v Middlesbrough2–2 · 2 May
L @ Coventry1–3 · 26 Apr
W @ Oxford1–0 · 21 Apr
W v Stoke2–0 · 18 Apr
Watford
W v Southampton2–1 · 16 Aug
L v Coventry0–4 · 2 May
L @ Middlesbrough1–5 · 25 Apr
L @ West Brom0–3 · 21 Apr
L v Sheffield United0–2 · 18 Apr
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Wrexham won 0, Watford won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 17 Mar 2026, finished Watford 3–1 Wrexham, a win for Watford.
Watford 3–1 Wrexham17 Mar 2026
Wrexham 2–2 Watford13 Dec 2025
Season averages per game
WRWA
1.25Goals0.83
1.50Conceded1.67
1.16xG1.03
1.21xG against1.89
12.5Shots12.2
3.5On target4.0
5.5Corners3.5
1.33Yellow cards2.75
17%Clean sheets8%
67%Both score50%
50%3+ goals42%