ChampionshipMatchday 15Saturday 7 November 2026 · 12:30

Wrexham vs Wolves prediction

Wrexham

30%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.0% chance

26%

draw

Wolves

44%

away win

Win probability: home 30%, draw 26%, away 44%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Wolves slight favourites to beat Wrexham away from home in the Championship on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives Wrexham a 30% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Wolves 44%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Wrexham and 1.6 from Wolves, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 54% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (12%). Wrexham keep a clean sheet in 21% of outcomes, Wolves in 28%.

Wrexham are 17th in the table with 14 points from 12 games; Wolves are 5th with 21. In their last five league games Wrexham took 7 points (WDLWL) and Wolves took 7 (LLWDW). This season Wrexham average 1.16 expected goals (xG) for and 1.21 against per game; Wolves average 1.74 for and 0.93 against.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Wrexham goalsColumns: Wolves goals

1–112.0%

1–29.2%

0–18.8%

2–17.3%

0–27.3%

1–06.9%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

94%

2 or more goals

78%

3 or more goals

54%

4 or more goals

32%

5 or more goals

16%

Both teams score

57%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.26 for Wrexham and 1.58 for Wolves.

Winning margin

Explained

Wrexham by 3

Wrexham by 2

Wrexham by 1

17%

Draw

26%

Wolves by 3

Wolves by 2

14%

Wolves by 1

22%

Each team's goals

Explained

Wrexham expected goals1.26

Wolves expected goals1.58

Wrexham keep a clean sheet21%

Wolves keep a clean sheet28%

Wrexham win without conceding14%

Wolves win without conceding22%

Wrexham score 2 or more36%

Wolves score 2 or more47%

Recent form

Wrexham

L @ Blackburn0–2 · 24 Oct

W v Preston4–1 · 17 Oct

L v West Brom1–2 · 13 Oct

D @ Derby1–1 · 10 Oct

W v Southampton2–1 · 19 Sep

Wolves

W v Watford1–0 · 24 Oct

D v Portsmouth1–1 · 20 Oct

W @ Burnley2–1 · 16 Oct

L v Bolton1–3 · 13 Oct

L @ Middlesbrough0–1 · 10 Oct

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

WRWO

1.25

Goals

1.67

1.50

Conceded

1.33

1.16

1.74

1.21

xG against

0.93

12.5

Shots

16.8

3.5

On target

4.2

5.5

Corners

7.1

1.33

Yellow cards

1.75

17%

Clean sheets

25%

67%

Both score

67%

50%

3+ goals

58%

Questions and answers

Who will win Wrexham vs Wolves?

GossipBall gives Wrexham a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Wolves 44%. GossipBall makes Wolves slight favourites to beat Wrexham away from home.

What is the most likely score in Wrexham vs Wolves?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%), 2–1 (7%).

Will both teams score in Wrexham vs Wolves?

GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Wrexham and Wolves score.

Will there be three or more goals in Wrexham vs Wolves?

There is a 54% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.3 for Wrexham, 1.6 for Wolves).

When is Wrexham vs Wolves?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC.