Birmingham vs QPR result and stats
Win probability: home 48%, draw 26%, away 25%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBirmingham beat QPR 3–0 at home in the Championship on Saturday 17 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Birmingham 48%, the draw 26% and QPR 25%, so a home win had a 48% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Birmingham 1.30, QPR 1.15, so Birmingham created the better chances. Birmingham had 11 shots (5 on target) to QPR's 12 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BIQP
1.30Expected goals1.15
11Shots12
5On target4
0Corners4
13Fouls7
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: T Kirk
Recent form
Birmingham
W v Preston4–0 · 13 Oct
W @ West Brom1–0 · 10 Oct
D v Middlesbrough2–2 · 19 Sep
W @ Derby2–1 · 12 Sep
L @ Norwich1–2 · 9 Sep
QPR
W v Derby4–1 · 14 Oct
D @ West Ham1–1 · 9 Oct
D v Preston2–2 · 19 Sep
D @ West Brom1–1 · 12 Sep
D @ Charlton0–0 · 9 Sep
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Birmingham won 3, QPR won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 Mar 2026, finished Birmingham 1–0 QPR, a win for Birmingham.
Birmingham 1–0 QPR11 Mar 2026
QPR 2–1 Birmingham9 Dec 2025
QPR 2–1 Birmingham29 Mar 2024
Birmingham 0–0 QPR22 Sep 2023
QPR 0–1 Birmingham18 Mar 2023
Birmingham 2–0 QPR28 Oct 2022
Season averages per game
BIQP
1.67Goals1.67
1.00Conceded1.00
1.70xG1.74
1.38xG against1.13
13.2Shots14.6
4.6On target5.1
5.5Corners5.5
2.08Yellow cards1.92
33%Clean sheets25%
58%Both score58%
67%3+ goals58%