West Brom vs Birmingham result and stats
Win probability: home 41%, draw 30%, away 30%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBirmingham won 1–0 away at West Brom in the Championship on Saturday 10 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave West Brom 41%, the draw 30% and Birmingham 30%, so an away win had a 30% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished West Brom 1.05, Birmingham 2.55, so Birmingham created the better chances. West Brom had 14 shots (2 on target) to Birmingham's 15 (7 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
WBBI
1.05Expected goals2.55
14Shots15
2On target7
7Corners9
8Fouls12
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: G Ward
Recent form
West Brom
L @ Wolves0–1 · 20 Sep
D v QPR1–1 · 12 Sep
W @ Derby1–0 · 9 Sep
W v Watford1–0 · 5 Sep
D v Charlton1–1 · 2 Sep
Birmingham
D v Middlesbrough2–2 · 19 Sep
W @ Derby2–1 · 12 Sep
L @ Norwich1–2 · 9 Sep
D v Wolves2–2 · 6 Sep
D v Southampton1–1 · 1 Sep
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, West Brom won 2, Birmingham won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 Feb 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
Birmingham 0–0 West Brom10 Feb 2026
West Brom 1–1 Birmingham26 Nov 2025
West Brom 1–0 Birmingham3 Feb 2024
Birmingham 3–1 West Brom6 Oct 2023
Birmingham 2–0 West Brom10 Feb 2023
West Brom 2–3 Birmingham14 Sep 2022
Season averages per game
WBBI
1.33Goals1.67
1.08Conceded1.00
1.40xG1.70
1.47xG against1.38
12.2Shots13.2
3.7On target4.6
5.8Corners5.5
2.00Yellow cards2.08
17%Clean sheets33%
67%Both score58%
42%3+ goals67%