Middlesbrough vs Cardiff result and stats
Win probability: home 63%, draw 20%, away 16%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMiddlesbrough and Cardiff drew 2–2 in the Championship on Saturday 17 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Middlesbrough 63%, the draw 20% and Cardiff 16%, so a draw had a 20% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Middlesbrough 2.76, Cardiff 0.85, so Middlesbrough created the better chances. Middlesbrough had 36 shots (12 on target) to Cardiff's 7 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MICA
2.76Expected goals0.85
36Shots7
12On target3
11Corners4
9Fouls10
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
0Half-time goals2
Referee: T Nield
Recent form
Middlesbrough
W @ Stoke3–2 · 13 Oct
W v Wolves1–0 · 10 Oct
D @ Birmingham2–2 · 19 Sep
D v Millwall2–2 · 15 Sep
W v Norwich4–3 · 12 Sep
Cardiff
W v Watford5–1 · 13 Oct
L @ Blackburn1–2 · 10 Oct
W v Charlton3–1 · 19 Sep
L @ Bolton0–1 · 12 Sep
D v Stoke1–1 · 8 Sep
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Middlesbrough won 6, Cardiff won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 4 Jan 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Middlesbrough 1–1 Cardiff4 Jan 2025
Cardiff 0–2 Middlesbrough31 Aug 2024
Cardiff 1–4 Middlesbrough27 Apr 2024
Middlesbrough 2–0 Cardiff3 Oct 2023
Cardiff 1–3 Middlesbrough11 Feb 2023
Middlesbrough 2–3 Cardiff13 Sep 2022
Season averages per game
MICA
2.25Goals1.58
1.42Conceded1.42
2.17xG1.93
1.01xG against1.67
20.1Shots17.1
6.7On target5.9
6.3Corners6.8
1.00Yellow cards1.75
17%Clean sheets8%
83%Both score75%
75%3+ goals58%