Middlesbrough vs Norwich result and stats
Win probability: home 51%, draw 24%, away 25%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMiddlesbrough beat Norwich 4–3 at home in the Championship on Saturday 12 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Middlesbrough 51%, the draw 24% and Norwich 25%, so a home win had a 51% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Middlesbrough 2.07, Norwich 1.62, so Middlesbrough created the better chances. Middlesbrough had 17 shots (6 on target) to Norwich's 13 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MINO
2.07Expected goals1.62
17Shots13
6On target5
3Corners5
13Fouls9
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Half-time goals1
Referee: A Herczeg
Recent form
Middlesbrough
W @ QPR1–0 · 5 Sep
D @ Burnley1–1 · 2 Sep
W v West Brom3–1 · 29 Aug
L @ Blackburn1–2 · 22 Aug
W v Lincoln2–1 · 15 Aug
Norwich
W v Birmingham2–1 · 9 Sep
W @ Sheffield United3–1 · 5 Sep
L @ Stoke0–1 · 1 Sep
W v Burnley4–1 · 29 Aug
L @ Millwall0–3 · 22 Aug
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Middlesbrough won 6, Norwich won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Middlesbrough 1–0 Norwich, a win for Middlesbrough.
Middlesbrough 1–0 Norwich31 Jan 2026
Norwich 1–2 Middlesbrough23 Aug 2025
Middlesbrough 0–0 Norwich26 Apr 2025
Norwich 3–3 Middlesbrough27 Oct 2024
Middlesbrough 3–1 Norwich6 Mar 2024
Norwich 1–2 Middlesbrough24 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
MINO
2.25Goals1.67
1.42Conceded1.83
2.17xG1.44
1.01xG against1.49
20.1Shots14.1
6.7On target5.0
6.3Corners4.4
1.00Yellow cards2.25
17%Clean sheets0%
83%Both score67%
75%3+ goals75%