Stoke vs Middlesbrough result and stats
Win probability: home 28%, draw 27%, away 45%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMiddlesbrough won 3–2 away at Stoke in the Championship on Tuesday 13 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Stoke 28%, the draw 27% and Middlesbrough 45%, so an away win had a 45% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Stoke 0.65, Middlesbrough 2.57, so Middlesbrough created the better chances. Stoke had 8 shots (1 on target) to Middlesbrough's 20 (9 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
STMI
0.65Expected goals2.57
8Shots20
1On target9
4Corners3
9Fouls11
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Referee: E Bell
Recent form
Stoke
W @ Bolton2–1 · 10 Oct
W v Sheffield United2–1 · 19 Sep
W @ Watford2–1 · 12 Sep
D @ Cardiff1–1 · 8 Sep
W v Charlton4–0 · 5 Sep
Middlesbrough
W v Wolves1–0 · 10 Oct
D @ Birmingham2–2 · 19 Sep
D v Millwall2–2 · 15 Sep
W v Norwich4–3 · 12 Sep
W @ QPR1–0 · 5 Sep
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 2, Middlesbrough won 4 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Jan 2026, finished Stoke 1–2 Middlesbrough, a win for Middlesbrough.
Stoke 1–2 Middlesbrough21 Jan 2026
Middlesbrough 0–0 Stoke30 Sep 2025
Stoke 1–3 Middlesbrough25 Feb 2025
Middlesbrough 2–0 Stoke28 Sep 2024
Stoke 2–0 Middlesbrough2 Mar 2024
Middlesbrough 0–2 Stoke28 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
STMI
1.50Goals2.25
1.33Conceded1.42
0.92xG2.17
1.61xG against1.01
11.3Shots20.1
3.5On target6.7
4.4Corners6.3
2.00Yellow cards1.00
33%Clean sheets17%
67%Both score83%
67%3+ goals75%