Burnley vs Wolves result and stats
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 28%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersWolves won 2–1 away at Burnley in the Championship on Friday 16 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Burnley 44%, the draw 27% and Wolves 28%, so an away win had a 28% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Burnley 1.00, Wolves 1.82, so Wolves created the better chances. Burnley had 15 shots (4 on target) to Wolves's 20 (8 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BUWO
1.00Expected goals1.82
15Shots20
4On target8
3Corners6
13Fouls9
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Referee: L Smith
Recent form
Burnley
D v Charlton2–2 · 13 Oct
W @ Watford4–0 · 10 Oct
D v Derby1–1 · 19 Sep
L @ Swansea1–3 · 12 Sep
D @ Wrexham1–1 · 8 Sep
Wolves
L v Bolton1–3 · 13 Oct
L @ Middlesbrough0–1 · 10 Oct
W v West Brom1–0 · 20 Sep
W @ Sheffield United1–0 · 13 Sep
D @ Birmingham2–2 · 6 Sep
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
BUWO
1.42Goals1.67
2.08Conceded1.33
1.29xG1.74
1.63xG against0.93
13.8Shots16.8
4.2On target4.2
4.7Corners7.1
2.00Yellow cards1.75
8%Clean sheets25%
92%Both score67%
75%3+ goals58%