ChampionshipMatchday 14Tuesday 3 November 2026 · 19:45

QPR vs Burnley prediction

QPR

28%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.9% chance

27%

draw

Burnley

45%

away win

Win probability: home 28%, draw 27%, away 45%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Burnley favourites to beat QPR away from home in the Championship on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives QPR a 28% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Burnley 45%.

GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from QPR and 1.5 from Burnley, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (13%). QPR keep a clean sheet in 23% of outcomes, Burnley in 33%.

QPR are 8th in the table with 20 points from 12 games; Burnley are 22nd with 8. In their last five league games QPR took 8 points (DDWLW) and Burnley took 5 (DWDLL). This season QPR average 1.74 expected goals (xG) for and 1.13 against per game; Burnley average 1.29 for and 1.63 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2022, QPR won 1, Burnley won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2025, finished QPR 0–5 Burnley, a win for Burnley.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: QPR goalsColumns: Burnley goals

1–112.9%

0–110.8%

1–29.1%

0–28.3%

0–08.2%

1–08.0%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

92%

2 or more goals

73%

3 or more goals

47%

4 or more goals

26%

5 or more goals

12%

Both teams score

52%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.10 for QPR and 1.46 for Burnley.

Winning margin

Explained

QPR by 3

QPR by 2

QPR by 1

17%

Draw

27%

Burnley by 3

Burnley by 2

14%

Burnley by 1

23%

Each team's goals

Explained

QPR expected goals1.10

Burnley expected goals1.46

QPR keep a clean sheet23%

Burnley keep a clean sheet33%

QPR win without conceding15%

Burnley win without conceding25%

QPR score 2 or more30%

Burnley score 2 or more43%

Recent form

QPR

W v Swansea5–0 · 24 Oct

L @ Birmingham0–3 · 17 Oct

W v Derby4–1 · 14 Oct

D @ West Ham1–1 · 9 Oct

D v Preston2–2 · 19 Sep

Burnley

L @ Lincoln1–4 · 24 Oct

L v Wolves1–2 · 16 Oct

D v Charlton2–2 · 13 Oct

W @ Watford4–0 · 10 Oct

D v Derby1–1 · 19 Sep

Head to head

In 4 league meetings since 2022, QPR won 1, Burnley won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2025, finished QPR 0–5 Burnley, a win for Burnley.

QPR 0–5 Burnley26 Apr 2025

Burnley 0–0 QPR26 Oct 2024

Burnley 1–2 QPR22 Apr 2023

QPR 0–3 Burnley11 Dec 2022

Season averages per game

QPBU

1.67

Goals

1.42

1.00

Conceded

2.08

1.74

1.29

1.13

xG against

1.63

14.6

Shots

13.8

5.1

On target

4.2

5.5

Corners

4.7

1.92

Yellow cards

2.00

25%

Clean sheets

58%

Both score

92%

58%

3+ goals

75%

Questions and answers

Who will win QPR vs Burnley?

GossipBall gives QPR a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Burnley 45%. GossipBall makes Burnley favourites to beat QPR away from home.

What is the most likely score in QPR vs Burnley?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 13% chance. The next most likely are 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–2 (8%).

Will both teams score in QPR vs Burnley?

GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both QPR and Burnley score.

Will there be three or more goals in QPR vs Burnley?

There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.1 for QPR, 1.5 for Burnley).

When is QPR vs Burnley?

Kick-off is Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Burnley?

In 4 league meetings since 2022, QPR won 1, Burnley won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2025, finished QPR 0–5 Burnley, a win for Burnley.