Swansea vs Burnley result and stats
Win probability: home 23%, draw 30%, away 47%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSwansea beat Burnley 3–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 12 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Swansea 23%, the draw 30% and Burnley 47%, so a home win had a 23% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Swansea 2.63, Burnley 1.72, so Swansea created the better chances. Swansea had 13 shots (6 on target) to Burnley's 18 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
SWBU
2.63Expected goals1.72
13Shots18
6On target6
3Corners6
7Fouls7
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Referee: J Bell
Recent form
Swansea
L @ Southampton1–3 · 8 Sep
D v Wrexham0–0 · 5 Sep
W v Watford2–0 · 1 Sep
W @ Derby3–0 · 29 Aug
D v Sheffield United0–0 · 22 Aug
Burnley
D @ Wrexham1–1 · 8 Sep
L v Bristol City1–2 · 5 Sep
D v Middlesbrough1–1 · 2 Sep
L @ Norwich1–4 · 29 Aug
L @ West Brom1–3 · 23 Aug
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2022, Swansea won 0, Burnley won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Mar 2025, finished Swansea 0–2 Burnley, a win for Burnley.
Swansea 0–2 Burnley15 Mar 2025
Burnley 1–0 Swansea10 Nov 2024
Swansea 1–2 Burnley2 Jan 2023
Burnley 4–0 Swansea15 Oct 2022
Season averages per game
SWBU
1.33Goals1.42
1.08Conceded2.08
1.51xG1.29
1.35xG against1.63
11.8Shots13.8
4.3On target4.2
4.3Corners4.7
1.67Yellow cards2.00
42%Clean sheets8%
42%Both score92%
58%3+ goals75%