Lincoln vs Burnley result and stats
Win probability: home 23%, draw 28%, away 49%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersLincoln beat Burnley 4–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 24 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Lincoln 23%, the draw 28% and Burnley 49%, so a home win had a 23% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Lincoln 2.13, Burnley 2.46, so Burnley created the better chances. Lincoln had 21 shots (7 on target) to Burnley's 8 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
LIBU
2.13Expected goals2.46
21Shots8
7On target4
2Corners5
10Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Referee: T Parsons
Recent form
Lincoln
D @ Millwall2–2 · 17 Oct
L v West Ham0–6 · 14 Oct
L @ Sheffield United0–3 · 10 Oct
L v Swansea1–2 · 19 Sep
W @ Bristol City1–0 · 15 Sep
Burnley
L v Wolves1–2 · 16 Oct
D v Charlton2–2 · 13 Oct
W @ Watford4–0 · 10 Oct
D v Derby1–1 · 19 Sep
L @ Swansea1–3 · 12 Sep
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
LIBU
1.08Goals1.42
1.67Conceded2.08
1.32xG1.29
1.46xG against1.63
12.3Shots13.8
3.1On target4.2
3.5Corners4.7
2.33Yellow cards2.00
33%Clean sheets8%
50%Both score92%
58%3+ goals75%