Norwich vs Burnley result and stats
Win probability: home 19%, draw 27%, away 54%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersNorwich beat Burnley 4–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 29 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Norwich 19%, the draw 27% and Burnley 54%, so a home win had a 19% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Norwich 1.92, Burnley 0.95, so Norwich created the better chances. Norwich had 20 shots (6 on target) to Burnley's 16 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
NOBU
1.92Expected goals0.95
20Shots16
6On target4
3Corners5
14Fouls5
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
3Half-time goals1
Referee: E Bell
Recent form
Norwich
L @ Millwall0–3 · 22 Aug
L v West Brom1–2 · 15 Aug
L @ Hull1–2 · 2 May
D v Swansea1–1 · 25 Apr
W v Derby2–1 · 21 Apr
Burnley
L @ West Brom1–3 · 23 Aug
D v West Ham2–2 · 16 Aug
W v Millwall3–1 · 3 May
W @ QPR5–0 · 26 Apr
W v Sheffield United2–1 · 21 Apr
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2022, Norwich won 0, Burnley won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Apr 2025, finished Burnley 2–1 Norwich, a win for Burnley.
Burnley 2–1 Norwich11 Apr 2025
Norwich 1–2 Burnley15 Dec 2024
Norwich 0–3 Burnley4 Feb 2023
Burnley 1–0 Norwich25 Oct 2022
Season averages per game
NOBU
1.67Goals1.42
1.83Conceded2.08
1.44xG1.29
1.49xG against1.63
14.1Shots13.8
5.0On target4.2
4.4Corners4.7
2.25Yellow cards2.00
0%Clean sheets8%
67%Both score92%
75%3+ goals75%