Bristol City vs Millwall result and stats
Win probability: home 37%, draw 30%, away 33%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMillwall won 2–0 away at Bristol City in the Championship on Saturday 15 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Bristol City 37%, the draw 30% and Millwall 33%, so an away win had a 33% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Bristol City 0.52, Millwall 3.40, so Millwall created the better chances. Bristol City had 8 shots (0 on target) to Millwall's 24 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BCMI
0.52Expected goals3.40
8Shots24
0On target3
6Corners6
8Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: L Smith
Recent form
Bristol City
W v Stoke2–0 · 2 May
L @ Birmingham1–2 · 25 Apr
D @ Southampton2–2 · 21 Apr
L v Norwich2–4 · 18 Apr
D @ QPR0–0 · 11 Apr
Millwall
W v Oxford2–0 · 2 May
D @ Leicester1–1 · 24 Apr
W @ Stoke3–1 · 21 Apr
W v QPR2–0 · 18 Apr
D @ West Brom0–0 · 10 Apr
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bristol City won 4, Millwall won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 29 Dec 2025, finished Millwall 2–1 Bristol City, a win for Millwall.
Millwall 2–1 Bristol City29 Dec 2025
Bristol City 0–1 Millwall6 Dec 2025
Millwall 0–2 Bristol City4 Mar 2025
Bristol City 4–3 Millwall17 Aug 2024
Bristol City 0–1 Millwall1 Jan 2024
Millwall 0–1 Bristol City12 Aug 2023
Season averages per game
BCMI
1.00Goals1.58
1.25Conceded1.67
1.30xG1.77
1.34xG against1.33
13.5Shots13.9
4.0On target3.9
5.5Corners5.8
1.33Yellow cards2.00
17%Clean sheets33%
50%Both score50%
42%3+ goals75%