Swansea vs Watford result and stats
Win probability: home 47%, draw 27%, away 26%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSwansea beat Watford 2–0 at home in the Championship on Tuesday 1 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Swansea 47%, the draw 27% and Watford 26%, so a home win had a 47% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Swansea 2.72, Watford 0.88, so Swansea created the better chances. Swansea had 18 shots (8 on target) to Watford's 9 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
SWWA
2.72Expected goals0.88
18Shots9
8On target3
5Corners3
6Fouls14
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Referee: E Duckworth
Recent form
Swansea
W @ Derby3–0 · 29 Aug
D v Sheffield United0–0 · 22 Aug
W @ Stoke2–1 · 15 Aug
W v Charlton3–1 · 2 May
D @ Norwich1–1 · 25 Apr
Watford
D v West Ham1–1 · 29 Aug
D @ Wrexham1–1 · 22 Aug
W v Southampton2–1 · 16 Aug
L v Coventry0–4 · 2 May
L @ Middlesbrough1–5 · 25 Apr
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Swansea won 4, Watford won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Watford 0–2 Swansea, a win for Swansea.
Watford 0–2 Swansea31 Jan 2026
Swansea 1–1 Watford23 Aug 2025
Watford 1–0 Swansea12 Mar 2025
Swansea 1–0 Watford5 Nov 2024
Watford 1–1 Swansea6 Mar 2024
Swansea 0–1 Watford24 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
SWWA
1.33Goals0.83
1.08Conceded1.67
1.51xG1.03
1.35xG against1.89
11.8Shots12.2
4.3On target4.0
4.3Corners3.5
1.67Yellow cards2.75
42%Clean sheets8%
42%Both score50%
58%3+ goals42%