ChampionshipMatchday 14Tuesday 3 November 2026 · 19:45

Watford vs Lincoln prediction

Watford

38%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

13.0% chance

27%

draw

Lincoln

35%

away win

Win probability: home 38%, draw 27%, away 35%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Watford against Lincoln as too close to call in the Championship on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Watford a 38% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Lincoln 35%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Watford and 1.3 from Lincoln, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (13%). Watford keep a clean sheet in 28% of outcomes, Lincoln in 26%.

Watford are 21st in the table with 11 points from 12 games; Lincoln are 15th with 15. In their last five league games Watford took 3 points (LLLWL) and Lincoln took 4 (LLLDW). This season Watford average 1.03 expected goals (xG) for and 1.89 against per game; Lincoln average 1.32 for and 1.46 against.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Watford goalsColumns: Lincoln goals

1–113.0%

1–09.4%

0–18.9%

2–18.4%

1–28.0%

0–07.8%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

92%

2 or more goals

74%

3 or more goals

48%

4 or more goals

27%

5 or more goals

12%

Both teams score

54%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.34 for Watford and 1.27 for Lincoln.

Winning margin

Explained

Watford by 3

Watford by 2

11%

Watford by 1

21%

Draw

27%

Lincoln by 3

Lincoln by 2

10%

Lincoln by 1

19%

Each team's goals

Explained

Watford expected goals1.34

Lincoln expected goals1.27

Watford keep a clean sheet28%

Lincoln keep a clean sheet26%

Watford win without conceding20%

Lincoln win without conceding18%

Watford score 2 or more39%

Lincoln score 2 or more36%

Recent form

Watford

L @ Wolves0–1 · 24 Oct

W v Charlton2–0 · 17 Oct

L @ Cardiff1–5 · 13 Oct

L v Burnley0–4 · 10 Oct

L @ Bristol City0–1 · 18 Sep

Lincoln

W v Burnley4–1 · 24 Oct

D @ Millwall2–2 · 17 Oct

L v West Ham0–6 · 14 Oct

L @ Sheffield United0–3 · 10 Oct

L v Swansea1–2 · 19 Sep

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

WALI

0.83

Goals

1.08

1.67

Conceded

1.67

1.03

1.32

1.89

xG against

1.46

12.2

Shots

12.3

4.0

On target

3.1

3.5

Corners

3.5

2.75

Yellow cards

2.33

Clean sheets

33%

50%

Both score

50%

42%

3+ goals

58%

Questions and answers

Who will win Watford vs Lincoln?

GossipBall gives Watford a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lincoln 35%. GossipBall sees Watford against Lincoln as too close to call.

What is the most likely score in Watford vs Lincoln?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 13% chance. The next most likely are 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in Watford vs Lincoln?

GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Watford and Lincoln score.

Will there be three or more goals in Watford vs Lincoln?

There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.3 for Watford, 1.3 for Lincoln).

When is Watford vs Lincoln?

Kick-off is Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.