Cardiff vs Watford result and stats
Win probability: home 41%, draw 27%, away 32%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersCardiff beat Watford 5–1 at home in the Championship on Tuesday 13 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Cardiff 41%, the draw 27% and Watford 32%, so a home win had a 41% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Cardiff 3.67, Watford 1.46, so Cardiff created the better chances. Cardiff had 22 shots (10 on target) to Watford's 14 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
CAWA
3.67Expected goals1.46
22Shots14
10On target4
6Corners1
12Fouls12
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
4Half-time goals0
Referee: J Busby
Recent form
Cardiff
L @ Blackburn1–2 · 10 Oct
W v Charlton3–1 · 19 Sep
L @ Bolton0–1 · 12 Sep
D v Stoke1–1 · 8 Sep
L @ Portsmouth0–2 · 5 Sep
Watford
L v Burnley0–4 · 10 Oct
L @ Bristol City0–1 · 18 Sep
L v Stoke1–2 · 12 Sep
W v Preston2–1 · 8 Sep
L @ West Brom0–1 · 5 Sep
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Cardiff won 3, Watford won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Jan 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Cardiff 1–1 Watford14 Jan 2025
Watford 1–2 Cardiff29 Dec 2024
Watford 0–1 Cardiff3 Feb 2024
Cardiff 1–1 Watford7 Oct 2023
Watford 1–3 Cardiff19 Apr 2023
Cardiff 1–2 Watford2 Nov 2022
Season averages per game
CAWA
1.58Goals0.83
1.42Conceded1.67
1.93xG1.03
1.67xG against1.89
17.1Shots12.2
5.9On target4.0
6.8Corners3.5
1.75Yellow cards2.75
8%Clean sheets8%
75%Both score50%
58%3+ goals42%