Southampton vs Stoke result and stats
Win probability: home 63%, draw 21%, away 16%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSouthampton beat Stoke 3–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 22 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Southampton 63%, the draw 21% and Stoke 16%, so a home win had a 63% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Southampton 2.32, Stoke 0.93, so Southampton created the better chances. Southampton had 18 shots (5 on target) to Stoke's 15 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
SOST
2.32Expected goals0.93
18Shots15
5On target2
4Corners2
10Fouls21
3Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
1Half-time goals1
Referee: S Martin
Recent form
Southampton
L @ Watford1–2 · 16 Aug
W @ Preston3–1 · 2 May
D v Ipswich2–2 · 28 Apr
D v Bristol City2–2 · 21 Apr
W @ Swansea2–1 · 18 Apr
Stoke
L v Swansea1–2 · 15 Aug
L @ Bristol City0–2 · 2 May
L v Portsmouth1–3 · 25 Apr
L v Millwall1–3 · 21 Apr
L @ Wrexham0–2 · 18 Apr
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Southampton won 2, Stoke won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Stoke 0–2 Southampton, a win for Southampton.
Stoke 0–2 Southampton31 Jan 2026
Southampton 1–2 Stoke23 Aug 2025
Southampton 0–1 Stoke27 Apr 2024
Stoke 0–1 Southampton3 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
SOST
2.00Goals1.50
1.00Conceded1.33
1.77xG0.92
1.30xG against1.61
15.2Shots11.3
4.6On target3.5
5.1Corners4.4
1.92Yellow cards2.00
25%Clean sheets33%
75%Both score67%
58%3+ goals67%