ChampionshipMatchday 14Tuesday 3 November 2026 · 19:45

Charlton vs Bolton prediction

Charlton

39%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

13.0% chance

27%

draw

Bolton

34%

away win

Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Charlton slight favourites to beat Bolton at home in the Championship on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Charlton a 39% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Bolton 34%.

GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Charlton and 1.2 from Bolton, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (13%). Charlton keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Bolton in 26%.

Charlton are 19th in the table with 14 points from 12 games; Bolton are 18th with 14. In their last five league games Charlton took 2 points (LDDLL) and Bolton took 7 (WLWDL). This season Charlton average 0.99 expected goals (xG) for and 1.55 against per game; Bolton average 1.36 for and 1.91 against.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Charlton goalsColumns: Bolton goals

1–113.0%

1–09.6%

0–18.8%

2–18.5%

0–07.8%

1–27.8%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

92%

2 or more goals

74%

3 or more goals

48%

4 or more goals

26%

5 or more goals

12%

Both teams score

53%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.36 for Charlton and 1.25 for Bolton.

Winning margin

Explained

Charlton by 3

Charlton by 2

12%

Charlton by 1

21%

Draw

27%

Bolton by 3

Bolton by 2

10%

Bolton by 1

19%

Each team's goals

Explained

Charlton expected goals1.36

Bolton expected goals1.25

Charlton keep a clean sheet29%

Bolton keep a clean sheet26%

Charlton win without conceding21%

Bolton win without conceding18%

Charlton score 2 or more39%

Bolton score 2 or more35%

Recent form

Charlton

L v Norwich1–3 · 24 Oct

L @ Watford0–2 · 17 Oct

D @ Burnley2–2 · 13 Oct

D v Bristol City1–1 · 10 Oct

L @ Cardiff1–3 · 19 Sep

Bolton

L v Middlesbrough1–5 · 23 Oct

D @ Southampton0–0 · 17 Oct

W @ Wolves3–1 · 13 Oct

L v Stoke1–2 · 10 Oct

W @ Norwich4–3 · 20 Sep

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

CHBO

0.92

Goals

1.33

1.50

Conceded

1.92

0.99

1.36

1.55

xG against

1.91

10.0

Shots

13.7

3.0

On target

4.7

4.4

Corners

5.1

2.08

Yellow cards

1.67

25%

Clean sheets

25%

58%

Both score

58%

50%

3+ goals

67%

Questions and answers

Who will win Charlton vs Bolton?

GossipBall gives Charlton a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bolton 34%. GossipBall makes Charlton slight favourites to beat Bolton at home.

What is the most likely score in Charlton vs Bolton?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 13% chance. The next most likely are 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in Charlton vs Bolton?

GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Charlton and Bolton score.

Will there be three or more goals in Charlton vs Bolton?

There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.4 for Charlton, 1.2 for Bolton).

When is Charlton vs Bolton?

Kick-off is Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.