Norwich vs Bolton result and stats
Win probability: home 63%, draw 20%, away 16%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBolton won 4–3 away at Norwich in the Championship on Sunday 20 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Norwich 63%, the draw 20% and Bolton 16%, so an away win had a 16% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Norwich 0.69, Bolton 1.10, so Bolton created the better chances. Norwich had 10 shots (4 on target) to Bolton's 9 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
NOBO
0.69Expected goals1.10
10Shots9
4On target5
4Corners2
11Fouls12
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals2
Referee: T Nield
Recent form
Norwich
L @ Middlesbrough3–4 · 12 Sep
W v Birmingham2–1 · 9 Sep
W @ Sheffield United3–1 · 5 Sep
L @ Stoke0–1 · 1 Sep
W v Burnley4–1 · 29 Aug
Bolton
W v Cardiff1–0 · 12 Sep
L v West Ham2–3 · 8 Sep
L @ Millwall0–4 · 5 Sep
L @ Sheffield United2–3 · 1 Sep
L v Lincoln0–1 · 29 Aug
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
NOBO
1.67Goals1.33
1.83Conceded1.92
1.44xG1.36
1.49xG against1.91
14.1Shots13.7
5.0On target4.7
4.4Corners5.1
2.25Yellow cards1.67
0%Clean sheets25%
67%Both score58%
75%3+ goals67%