ChampionshipMatchday 13Saturday 31 October 2026 · 15:00

Wolves vs Cardiff prediction

Wolves

67%

home win

likeliest score

2–0

10.5% chance

19%

draw

Cardiff

14%

away win

Win probability: home 67%, draw 19%, away 14%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Wolves clear favourites to beat Cardiff at home in the Championship on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Wolves a 67% chance of winning, puts the draw at 19% and gives Cardiff 14%.

GossipBall expects 2.2 goals from Wolves and 0.9 from Cardiff, so goals look likely: there is a 61% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 2–0 (11%). Wolves keep a clean sheet in 39% of outcomes, Cardiff in 11%.

Wolves are 5th in the table with 21 points from 12 games; Cardiff are 16th with 14. In their last five league games Wolves took 7 points (LLWDW) and Cardiff took 10 (WLWDW). This season Wolves average 1.74 expected goals (xG) for and 0.93 against per game; Cardiff average 1.93 for and 1.67 against.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Wolves goalsColumns: Cardiff goals

2–010.5%

2–19.8%

1–09.1%

1–19.1%

3–07.8%

3–17.3%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

95%

2 or more goals

83%

3 or more goals

61%

4 or more goals

39%

5 or more goals

21%

Both teams score

54%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.2 goals in total: 2.23 for Wolves and 0.93 for Cardiff.

Winning margin

Explained

Wolves by 3

13%

Wolves by 2

20%

Wolves by 1

23%

Draw

19%

Cardiff by 3

Cardiff by 2

Cardiff by 1

Each team's goals

Explained

Wolves expected goals2.23

Cardiff expected goals0.93

Wolves keep a clean sheet39%

Cardiff keep a clean sheet11%

Wolves win without conceding35%

Cardiff win without conceding6%

Wolves score 2 or more65%

Cardiff score 2 or more24%

Recent form

Wolves

W v Watford1–0 · 24 Oct

D v Portsmouth1–1 · 20 Oct

W @ Burnley2–1 · 16 Oct

L v Bolton1–3 · 13 Oct

L @ Middlesbrough0–1 · 10 Oct

Cardiff

W v Birmingham1–0 · 24 Oct

D @ Middlesbrough2–2 · 17 Oct

W v Watford5–1 · 13 Oct

L @ Blackburn1–2 · 10 Oct

W v Charlton3–1 · 19 Sep

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

WOCA

1.67

Goals

1.58

1.33

Conceded

1.42

1.74

1.93

0.93

xG against

1.67

16.8

Shots

17.1

4.2

On target

5.9

7.1

Corners

6.8

1.75

Yellow cards

1.75

25%

Clean sheets

67%

Both score

75%

58%

3+ goals

58%

Questions and answers

Who will win Wolves vs Cardiff?

GossipBall gives Wolves a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Cardiff 14%. GossipBall makes Wolves clear favourites to beat Cardiff at home.

What is the most likely score in Wolves vs Cardiff?

The likeliest single score is 2–0, with a 11% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 1–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in Wolves vs Cardiff?

GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Wolves and Cardiff score.

Will there be three or more goals in Wolves vs Cardiff?

There is a 61% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (2.2 for Wolves, 0.9 for Cardiff).

When is Wolves vs Cardiff?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UTC.