ChampionshipMatchday 15Saturday 7 November 2026 · 15:00

QPR vs Lincoln prediction

QPR

44%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.2% chance

26%

draw

Lincoln

30%

away win

Win probability: home 44%, draw 26%, away 30%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes QPR slight favourites to beat Lincoln at home in the Championship on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives QPR a 44% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Lincoln 30%.

GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from QPR and 1.2 from Lincoln, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 53% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (12%). QPR keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Lincoln in 21%.

QPR are 8th in the table with 20 points from 12 games; Lincoln are 15th with 15. In their last five league games QPR took 8 points (DDWLW) and Lincoln took 4 (LLLDW). This season QPR average 1.74 expected goals (xG) for and 1.13 against per game; Lincoln average 1.32 for and 1.46 against.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: QPR goalsColumns: Lincoln goals

1–112.2%

2–19.2%

1–09.0%

2–07.4%

1–27.3%

0–17.1%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

94%

2 or more goals

77%

3 or more goals

53%

4 or more goals

31%

5 or more goals

15%

Both teams score

57%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.56 for QPR and 1.24 for Lincoln.

Winning margin

Explained

QPR by 3

QPR by 2

13%

QPR by 1

22%

Draw

26%

Lincoln by 3

Lincoln by 2

Lincoln by 1

17%

Each team's goals

Explained

QPR expected goals1.56

Lincoln expected goals1.24

QPR keep a clean sheet29%

Lincoln keep a clean sheet21%

QPR win without conceding22%

Lincoln win without conceding14%

QPR score 2 or more46%

Lincoln score 2 or more35%

Recent form

QPR

W v Swansea5–0 · 24 Oct

L @ Birmingham0–3 · 17 Oct

W v Derby4–1 · 14 Oct

D @ West Ham1–1 · 9 Oct

D v Preston2–2 · 19 Sep

Lincoln

W v Burnley4–1 · 24 Oct

D @ Millwall2–2 · 17 Oct

L v West Ham0–6 · 14 Oct

L @ Sheffield United0–3 · 10 Oct

L v Swansea1–2 · 19 Sep

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

QPLI

1.67

Goals

1.08

1.00

Conceded

1.67

1.74

1.32

1.13

xG against

1.46

14.6

Shots

12.3

5.1

On target

3.1

5.5

Corners

3.5

1.92

Yellow cards

2.33

25%

Clean sheets

33%

58%

Both score

50%

58%

3+ goals

58%

Questions and answers

Who will win QPR vs Lincoln?

GossipBall gives QPR a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lincoln 30%. GossipBall makes QPR slight favourites to beat Lincoln at home.

What is the most likely score in QPR vs Lincoln?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%), 2–0 (7%).

Will both teams score in QPR vs Lincoln?

GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both QPR and Lincoln score.

Will there be three or more goals in QPR vs Lincoln?

There is a 53% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.6 for QPR, 1.2 for Lincoln).

When is QPR vs Lincoln?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.