ChampionshipMatchday 15Saturday 7 November 2026 · 15:00

Preston vs Southampton prediction

Preston

24%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

11.1% chance

24%

draw

Southampton

52%

away win

Win probability: home 24%, draw 24%, away 52%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Southampton favourites to beat Preston away from home in the Championship on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Preston a 24% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Southampton 52%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Preston and 1.8 from Southampton, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 58% chance of three or more goals and a 58% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (11%). Preston keep a clean sheet in 16% of outcomes, Southampton in 31%.

Preston are 24th in the table with 5 points from 12 games; Southampton are 2nd with 24. In their last five league games Preston took 2 points (DLLLD) and Southampton took 10 (LWWDW). This season Preston average 1.24 expected goals (xG) for and 1.48 against per game; Southampton average 1.77 for and 1.30 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2023, Preston won 1, Southampton won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Preston 1–3 Southampton, a win for Southampton.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Preston goalsColumns: Southampton goals

1–111.1%

1–29.8%

0–18.7%

0–28.3%

2–16.2%

1–35.9%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

95%

2 or more goals

80%

3 or more goals

58%

4 or more goals

35%

5 or more goals

18%

Both teams score

58%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.17 for Preston and 1.83 for Southampton.

Winning margin

Explained

Preston by 3

Preston by 2

Preston by 1

14%

Draw

24%

Southampton by 3

Southampton by 2

16%

Southampton by 1

23%

Each team's goals

Explained

Preston expected goals1.17

Southampton expected goals1.83

Preston keep a clean sheet16%

Southampton keep a clean sheet31%

Preston win without conceding11%

Southampton win without conceding26%

Preston score 2 or more33%

Southampton score 2 or more55%

Recent form

Preston

D v West Brom1–1 · 24 Oct

L @ Wrexham1–4 · 17 Oct

L @ Birmingham0–4 · 13 Oct

L v Millwall0–1 · 10 Oct

D @ QPR2–2 · 19 Sep

Southampton

W @ West Ham3–2 · 24 Oct

D v Bolton0–0 · 17 Oct

W @ Norwich1–0 · 14 Oct

W v Portsmouth1–0 · 11 Oct

L @ Wrexham1–2 · 19 Sep

Head to head

In 4 league meetings since 2023, Preston won 1, Southampton won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Preston 1–3 Southampton, a win for Southampton.

Preston 1–3 Southampton2 May 2026

Southampton 0–2 Preston1 Nov 2025

Southampton 3–0 Preston16 Apr 2024

Preston 2–2 Southampton25 Oct 2023

Season averages per game

PRSO

0.83

Goals

2.00

2.08

Conceded

1.00

1.24

1.77

1.48

xG against

1.30

12.6

Shots

15.2

2.7

On target

4.6

4.8

Corners

5.1

2.25

Yellow cards

1.92

Clean sheets

25%

67%

Both score

75%

67%

3+ goals

58%

Questions and answers

Who will win Preston vs Southampton?

GossipBall gives Preston a 24% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Southampton 52%. GossipBall makes Southampton favourites to beat Preston away from home.

What is the most likely score in Preston vs Southampton?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 11% chance. The next most likely are 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%).

Will both teams score in Preston vs Southampton?

GossipBall gives a 58% chance that both Preston and Southampton score.

Will there be three or more goals in Preston vs Southampton?

There is a 58% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.2 for Preston, 1.8 for Southampton).

When is Preston vs Southampton?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Preston and Southampton?

In 4 league meetings since 2023, Preston won 1, Southampton won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Preston 1–3 Southampton, a win for Southampton.