ChampionshipMatchday 14Tuesday 3 November 2026 · 20:00

West Brom vs Southampton prediction

West Brom

31%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.5% chance

26%

draw

Southampton

43%

away win

Win probability: home 31%, draw 26%, away 43%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Southampton slight favourites to beat West Brom away from home in the Championship on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives West Brom a 31% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Southampton 43%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from West Brom and 1.5 from Southampton, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (12%). West Brom keep a clean sheet in 22% of outcomes, Southampton in 29%.

West Brom are 6th in the table with 21 points from 12 games; Southampton are 2nd with 24. In their last five league games West Brom took 7 points (LLWWD) and Southampton took 10 (LWWDW). This season West Brom average 1.40 expected goals (xG) for and 1.47 against per game; Southampton average 1.77 for and 1.30 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2023, West Brom won 0, Southampton won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: West Brom goalsColumns: Southampton goals

1–112.5%

0–19.3%

1–29.0%

1–07.6%

2–17.4%

0–27.3%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

93%

2 or more goals

76%

3 or more goals

51%

4 or more goals

29%

5 or more goals

14%

Both teams score

56%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.24 for West Brom and 1.50 for Southampton.

Winning margin

Explained

West Brom by 3

West Brom by 2

West Brom by 1

18%

Draw

26%

Southampton by 3

Southampton by 2

13%

Southampton by 1

22%

Each team's goals

Explained

West Brom expected goals1.24

Southampton expected goals1.50

West Brom keep a clean sheet22%

Southampton keep a clean sheet29%

West Brom win without conceding15%

Southampton win without conceding22%

West Brom score 2 or more35%

Southampton score 2 or more44%

Recent form

West Brom

D @ Preston1–1 · 24 Oct

W v Blackburn3–2 · 17 Oct

W @ Wrexham2–1 · 13 Oct

L v Birmingham0–1 · 10 Oct

L @ Wolves0–1 · 20 Sep

Southampton

W @ West Ham3–2 · 24 Oct

D v Bolton0–0 · 17 Oct

W @ Norwich1–0 · 14 Oct

W v Portsmouth1–0 · 11 Oct

L @ Wrexham1–2 · 19 Sep

Head to head

In 4 league meetings since 2023, West Brom won 0, Southampton won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

West Brom 1–1 Southampton11 Mar 2026

Southampton 3–2 West Brom9 Dec 2025

West Brom 0–2 Southampton16 Feb 2024

Southampton 2–1 West Brom11 Nov 2023

Season averages per game

WBSO

1.33

Goals

2.00

1.08

Conceded

1.00

1.40

1.77

1.47

xG against

1.30

12.2

Shots

15.2

3.7

On target

4.6

5.8

Corners

5.1

2.00

Yellow cards

1.92

17%

Clean sheets

25%

67%

Both score

75%

42%

3+ goals

58%

Questions and answers

Who will win West Brom vs Southampton?

GossipBall gives West Brom a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Southampton 43%. GossipBall makes Southampton slight favourites to beat West Brom away from home.

What is the most likely score in West Brom vs Southampton?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 1–0 (8%).

Will both teams score in West Brom vs Southampton?

GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both West Brom and Southampton score.

Will there be three or more goals in West Brom vs Southampton?

There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.2 for West Brom, 1.5 for Southampton).

When is West Brom vs Southampton?

Kick-off is Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between West Brom and Southampton?

In 4 league meetings since 2023, West Brom won 0, Southampton won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.