England · 2026–27
Championship season simulation
2.89goals per game
40%home wins
43%favourites won
last season
last season
Playing out the rest of the Championship season 10,000 times, GossipBall makes West Ham title favourites at 62%, ahead of Southampton (15%). Preston (79%), Watford (44%) and Charlton (43%) are the likeliest to finish in the bottom three.
The rest of the season played out 10,000 times with GossipBall's probabilities.How this works
| Team | Exp. pts | Win league | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 91.3 | 62% | 98% | 0% |
| Southampton | 83.6 | 15% | 84% | 0% |
| Middlesbrough | 82.2 | 11% | 79% | 0% |
| Wolves | 81.7 | 10% | 77% | 0% |
| Swansea | 69.5 | 0.4% | 14% | 0% |
| Birmingham | 67.6 | 0.1% | 10% | 0% |
| West Brom | 66.8 | 0.1% | 8% | 1% |
| Burnley | 66.7 | 0.1% | 8% | 1% |
| Millwall | 65.3 | 0.1% | 6% | 1% |
| Sheffield United | 63.9 | 0.0% | 4% | 2% |
| QPR | 62.4 | 0.0% | 3% | 2% |
| Wrexham | 61.1 | 0.0% | 2% | 4% |
| Norwich | 60.4 | 0% | 2% | 5% |
| Portsmouth | 59.2 | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Stoke | 59.1 | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Bristol City | 59.0 | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Lincoln | 58.1 | 0% | 1% | 8% |
| Blackburn | 58.0 | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| Bolton | 53.6 | 0% | 0% | 22% |
| Cardiff | 51.9 | 0% | 0% | 27% |
| Derby | 49.7 | 0% | 0% | 38% |
| Charlton | 49.3 | 0% | 0% | 43% |
| Watford | 49.0 | 0% | 0% | 44% |
| Preston | 42.2 | 0% | 0% | 79% |
Finishing position chances
Darker squares are likelier finishing positions; numbers are percentages.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 62 | 22 | 10 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Southampton | 15 | 28 | 25 | 16 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Middlesbrough | 11 | 23 | 25 | 20 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Wolves | 10 | 22 | 24 | 21 | 10 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Swansea | 8 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||
| Birmingham | 6 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | |||||||||||||||
| West Brom | 5 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
| Burnley | 5 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | |||||||||||||||
| Millwall | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | ||||||||||||||
| Sheffield United | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | |||||||||||||
| QPR | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | ||||||||||||
| Wrexham | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | ||||||||||||
| Norwich | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | |||||||||||||
| Portsmouth | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | |||||||||||||
| Stoke | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | |||||||||||||
| Bristol City | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | ||||||||||||||
| Lincoln | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | |||||||||||||
| Blackburn | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | ||||||||||||||
| Bolton | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | |||||||||||||||
| Cardiff | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 6 | |||||||||||||||
| Derby | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| Charlton | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 12 | |||||||||||||||||
| Watford | 5 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||
| Preston | 7 | 12 | 20 | 47 |