GOSSIPBALL
Ligue 1Matchday 10Sunday 8 November 2026 ·

Le Havre vs Lorient prediction

34%
home win
likeliest score
1–1
13.6% chance
29%
draw
37%
away win
Win probability: home 34%, draw 29%, away 37%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Le Havre against Lorient as too close to call in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:15 UTC. It gives Le Havre a 34% chance of winning, puts the draw at 29% and gives Lorient 37%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Le Havre and 1.3 from Lorient, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 44% chance of three or more goals and a 50% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (14%). Le Havre keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Lorient in 30%.

Le Havre are 18th in the table with 2 points from 8 games; Lorient are 9th with 12. In their last five league games Le Havre took 1 points (DLLLL) and Lorient took 8 (DLWWD). This season Le Havre average 1.59 expected goals (xG) for and 1.68 against per game; Lorient average 1.09 for and 1.03 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2023, Le Havre won 2, Lorient won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Lorient 0–2 Le Havre, a win for Le Havre.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
9
10
7
3
<1
<1
1
10
14
8
3
1
<1
2
6
8
5
2
<1
<1
3
2
3
2
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Le Havre goalsColumns: Lorient goals
1–113.6%
0–110.3%
1–09.8%
0–09.3%
1–28.1%
2–17.7%
1 or more goals
91%
2 or more goals
71%
3 or more goals
44%
4 or more goals
23%
5 or more goals
10%
Both teams score
50%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.19 for Le Havre and 1.25 for Lorient.

Winning margin

Explained
Le Havre by 3
4%
Le Havre by 2
10%
Le Havre by 1
20%
Draw
29%
Lorient by 3
4%
Lorient by 2
11%
Lorient by 1
21%

Each team's goals

Explained
Le Havre expected goals1.19
Lorient expected goals1.25
Le Havre keep a clean sheet29%
Lorient keep a clean sheet30%
Le Havre win without conceding19%
Lorient win without conceding21%
Le Havre score 2 or more33%
Lorient score 2 or more36%

Recent form

Le Havre
L @ Marseille3–4 · 25 Oct
L v Auxerre1–3 · 18 Oct
L @ Lille0–1 · 10 Oct
L @ Toulouse2–3 · 19 Sep
D v Angers0–0 · 12 Sep
Lorient
D @ Angers0–0 · 25 Oct
W v Monaco1–0 · 18 Oct
W v Paris FC1–0 · 10 Oct
L @ Le Mans1–2 · 19 Sep
D v Toulouse2–2 · 12 Sep

Head to head

In 4 league meetings since 2023, Le Havre won 2, Lorient won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Lorient 0–2 Le Havre, a win for Le Havre.

Lorient 0–2 Le Havre17 May 2026
Le Havre 1–1 Lorient21 Sep 2025
Lorient 3–3 Le Havre28 Jan 2024
Le Havre 3–0 Lorient3 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

LHLO
1.00
Goals
0.88
1.88
Conceded
0.75
1.59
xG
1.09
1.68
xG against
1.03
16.5
Shots
9.8
5.0
On target
3.1
5.4
Corners
3.1
1.75
Yellow cards
1.12
12%
Clean sheets
62%
62%
Both score
38%
50%
3+ goals
38%

Questions and answers

Who will win Le Havre vs Lorient?

GossipBall gives Le Havre a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Lorient 37%. GossipBall sees Le Havre against Lorient as too close to call.

What is the most likely score in Le Havre vs Lorient?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 14% chance. The next most likely are 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 0–0 (9%).

Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Lorient?

GossipBall gives a 50% chance that both Le Havre and Lorient score.

Will there be three or more goals in Le Havre vs Lorient?

There is a 44% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.2 for Le Havre, 1.3 for Lorient).

When is Le Havre vs Lorient?

Kick-off is Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:15 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Lorient?

In 4 league meetings since 2023, Le Havre won 2, Lorient won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Lorient 0–2 Le Havre, a win for Le Havre.

GOSSIPBALL is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Track record · [email protected]