Ligue 1Matchday 9Sunday 1 November 2026 · 14:00

Strasbourg vs Auxerre prediction

Strasbourg

51%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

11.5% chance

24%

draw

Auxerre

24%

away win

Win probability: home 51%, draw 24%, away 24%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Strasbourg favourites to beat Auxerre at home in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Strasbourg a 51% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Auxerre 24%.

GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Strasbourg and 1.1 from Auxerre, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (12%). Strasbourg keep a clean sheet in 32% of outcomes, Auxerre in 17%.

Strasbourg are 16th in the table with 7 points from 8 games; Auxerre are 12th with 10. In their last five league games Strasbourg took 1 points (DLLLL) and Auxerre took 10 (WWLWD). This season Strasbourg average 1.13 expected goals (xG) for and 1.96 against per game; Auxerre average 1.54 for and 1.97 against.

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Strasbourg won 4, Auxerre won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, was a 0–0 draw.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Strasbourg goalsColumns: Auxerre goals

1–111.5%

2–19.7%

1–09.2%

2–08.5%

1–26.3%

0–06.0%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

94%

2 or more goals

79%

3 or more goals

55%

4 or more goals

33%

5 or more goals

17%

Both teams score

57%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.76 for Strasbourg and 1.14 for Auxerre.

Winning margin

Explained

Strasbourg by 3

Strasbourg by 2

16%

Strasbourg by 1

23%

Draw

24%

Auxerre by 3

Auxerre by 2

Auxerre by 1

15%

Each team's goals

Explained

Strasbourg expected goals1.76

Auxerre expected goals1.14

Strasbourg keep a clean sheet32%

Auxerre keep a clean sheet17%

Strasbourg win without conceding26%

Auxerre win without conceding11%

Strasbourg score 2 or more53%

Auxerre score 2 or more31%

Recent form

Strasbourg

L @ Rennes0–3 · 25 Oct

L v Paris Saint-Germain1–3 · 17 Oct

L @ Nice1–2 · 11 Oct

L @ Paris FC1–2 · 19 Sep

D v Monaco1–1 · 12 Sep

Auxerre

D v Le Mans1–1 · 25 Oct

W @ Le Havre3–1 · 18 Oct

L @ Rennes1–4 · 11 Oct

W v Brest2–1 · 20 Sep

W v Nice1–0 · 12 Sep

Head to head

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Strasbourg won 4, Auxerre won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, was a 0–0 draw.

Auxerre 0–0 Strasbourg7 Mar 2026

Strasbourg 3–0 Auxerre29 Oct 2025

Auxerre 0–1 Strasbourg2 Mar 2025

Strasbourg 3–1 Auxerre5 Jan 2025

Strasbourg 2–0 Auxerre19 Mar 2023

Auxerre 1–0 Strasbourg27 Aug 2022

Season averages per game

STAU

1.50

Goals

1.50

2.25

Conceded

2.25

1.13

1.54

1.96

xG against

1.97

12.2

Shots

12.2

4.9

On target

5.1

2.4

Corners

5.8

1.75

Yellow cards

1.38

Clean sheets

12%

75%

Both score

88%

3+ goals

75%

Questions and answers

Who will win Strasbourg vs Auxerre?

GossipBall gives Strasbourg a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Auxerre 24%. GossipBall makes Strasbourg favourites to beat Auxerre at home.

What is the most likely score in Strasbourg vs Auxerre?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 2–0 (9%).

Will both teams score in Strasbourg vs Auxerre?

GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Strasbourg and Auxerre score.

Will there be three or more goals in Strasbourg vs Auxerre?

There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.8 for Strasbourg, 1.1 for Auxerre).

When is Strasbourg vs Auxerre?

Kick-off is Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Auxerre?

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Strasbourg won 4, Auxerre won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, was a 0–0 draw.