Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes prediction
Match preview
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain clear favourites to beat Troyes at home in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Paris Saint-Germain a 86% chance of winning, puts the draw at 10% and gives Troyes 4%.
GossipBall expects 3.2 goals from Paris Saint-Germain and 0.6 from Troyes, so goals look likely: there is a 74% chance of three or more goals and a 45% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 3–0 (12%). Paris Saint-Germain keep a clean sheet in 53% of outcomes, Troyes in 4%.
Paris Saint-Germain are 1st in the table with 17 points from 8 games; Troyes are 17th with 5. In their last five league games Paris Saint-Germain took 15 points (WWWWW) and Troyes took 1 (LLLLD). This season Paris Saint-Germain average 2.50 expected goals (xG) for and 1.17 against per game; Troyes average 1.13 for and 1.65 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Paris Saint-Germain won 3, Troyes won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 May 2023, finished Troyes 1–3 Paris Saint-Germain, a win for Paris Saint-Germain.
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGoals
ExplainedGOSSIPBALL expects 3.9 goals in total: 3.23 for Paris Saint-Germain and 0.63 for Troyes.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Paris Saint-Germain won 3, Troyes won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 May 2023, finished Troyes 1–3 Paris Saint-Germain, a win for Paris Saint-Germain.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes?
GossipBall gives Paris Saint-Germain a 86% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Troyes 4%. GossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain clear favourites to beat Troyes at home.
What is the most likely score in Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes?
The likeliest single score is 3–0, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 2–0 (11%), 4–0 (10%), 3–1 (7%).
Will both teams score in Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes?
GossipBall gives a 45% chance that both Paris Saint-Germain and Troyes score.
Will there be three or more goals in Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes?
There is a 74% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.9 goals in total (3.2 for Paris Saint-Germain, 0.6 for Troyes).
When is Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes?
Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint-Germain and Troyes?
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Paris Saint-Germain won 3, Troyes won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 May 2023, finished Troyes 1–3 Paris Saint-Germain, a win for Paris Saint-Germain.