Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain are 1st in the Ligue 1 with 17 points from 8 games (5 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats), having scored 16 and conceded 9.
They average 2.50 expected goals for and 1.17 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them the strongest team in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Paris Saint-Germain to finish with about 74 points, with a 90% chance of winning the league, 100% of a top-four finish and 0% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: away at Le Havre on Friday 30 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Paris Saint-Germain a 68% chance of winning.
1 / 18GOSSIPBALL rating rank
2.50xG per game
1.17xG against per game
25%clean sheets
74.0expected final points
90%chance to win the league
Next matches
Le Havre
Paris Saint-Germain
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 13%, draw 19%, away 68%
Likeliest score 0–2
Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes prediction (Ligue 1):
Paris Saint-Germain
Troyes
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 86%, draw 10%, away 4%
Likeliest score 3–0
Results this season
26 Oct
Paris Saint-Germain2
Lyon0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 64%, draw 20%, away 16%
0.9–0.6match xG
Strasbourg 1–3 Paris Saint-Germain result and stats:
17 Oct
Strasbourg1
Paris Saint-Germain3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 21%, draw 22%, away 57%
1.5–2.7match xG
Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Le Mans result and stats:
10 Oct
Paris Saint-Germain3
Le Mans1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 77%, draw 14%, away 9%
4.2–1.4match xG
Marseille 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain result and stats:
20 Sep
Marseille1
Paris Saint-Germain2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 27%, draw 23%, away 50%
2.0–5.1match xG
Brest 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain result and stats:
13 Sep
Brest0
Paris Saint-Germain1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 17%, draw 20%, away 63%
1.2–1.2match xG
Paris Saint-Germain 1–2 Monaco result and stats:
4 Sep
Paris Saint-Germain1
Monaco2
Upset
Win probability: home 66%, draw 18%, away 15%
2.3–0.5match xG
Lille 2–2 Paris Saint-Germain result and stats:
28 Aug
Lille2
Paris Saint-Germain2
Upset
Win probability: home 27%, draw 26%, away 46%
1.3–1.4match xG
Rennes 2–2 Paris Saint-Germain result and stats:
23 Aug
Rennes2
Paris Saint-Germain2
Upset
Win probability: home 22%, draw 22%, away 56%
0.9–2.2match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored2.00
Goals conceded1.12
Expected goals (xG)2.50
xG against1.17
Shots20.4
Shots on target7.6
Shots on target against4.1
Conversion (goals per shot on target)26%
Corners5.9
Fouls6.1
Yellow cards1.12
Red cards0.00
Clean sheets25%
Both teams scored75%
3 or more goals75%
Failed to score0%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)+0.56
Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.41
Overall+0.97