Lille vs Paris Saint-Germain result and stats
Win probability: home 27%, draw 26%, away 46%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersLille and Paris Saint-Germain drew 2–2 in the Ligue 1 on Friday 28 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Lille 27%, the draw 26% and Paris Saint-Germain 46%, so a draw had a 26% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Lille 1.27, Paris Saint-Germain 1.44, so Paris Saint-Germain created the better chances. Lille had 9 shots (4 on target) to Paris Saint-Germain's 18 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
LIPS
1.27Expected goals1.44
9Shots18
4On target4
0Corners5
11Fouls7
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Lille
W @ Angers2–0 · 23 Aug
L v Auxerre0–2 · 17 May
W @ Monaco1–0 · 10 May
D v Le Havre1–1 · 3 May
W @ Paris FC1–0 · 26 Apr
Paris Saint-Germain
D @ Rennes2–2 · 23 Aug
L @ Paris FC1–2 · 17 May
W @ Lens2–0 · 13 May
W v Brest1–0 · 10 May
D v Lorient2–2 · 2 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Lille won 0, Paris Saint-Germain won 8 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Jan 2026, finished Paris Saint-Germain 3–0 Lille, a win for Paris Saint-Germain.
Paris Saint-Germain 3–0 Lille16 Jan 2026
Lille 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain5 Oct 2025
Paris Saint-Germain 4–1 Lille1 Mar 2025
Lille 1–3 Paris Saint-Germain1 Sep 2024
Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Lille10 Feb 2024
Lille 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain17 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
LIPS
1.38Goals2.00
0.75Conceded1.12
1.38xG2.50
1.66xG against1.17
11.2Shots20.4
5.0On target7.6
3.0Corners5.9
1.62Yellow cards1.12
50%Clean sheets25%
50%Both score75%
25%3+ goals75%