Ligue 1Matchday 10Sunday 8 November 2026 · 14:00

Rennes vs Lille prediction

Rennes

38%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.2% chance

26%

draw

Lille

36%

away win

Win probability: home 38%, draw 26%, away 36%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Rennes against Lille as too close to call in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Rennes a 38% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Lille 36%.

GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Rennes and 1.4 from Lille, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 59% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (12%). Rennes keep a clean sheet in 24% of outcomes, Lille in 23%.

Rennes are 2nd in the table with 16 points from 8 games; Lille are 3rd with 15. In their last five league games Rennes took 9 points (WLWLW) and Lille took 8 (WLWDD). This season Rennes average 2.02 expected goals (xG) for and 2.19 against per game; Lille average 1.38 for and 1.66 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Rennes won 1, Lille won 5 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Rennes 1–2 Lille, a win for Lille.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Rennes goalsColumns: Lille goals

1–112.2%

2–18.5%

1–28.2%

1–07.8%

0–17.4%

0–06.2%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

94%

2 or more goals

79%

3 or more goals

55%

4 or more goals

32%

5 or more goals

16%

Both teams score

59%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.46 for Rennes and 1.41 for Lille.

Winning margin

Explained

Rennes by 3

Rennes by 2

11%

Rennes by 1

20%

Draw

26%

Lille by 3

Lille by 2

11%

Lille by 1

19%

Each team's goals

Explained

Rennes expected goals1.46

Lille expected goals1.41

Rennes keep a clean sheet24%

Lille keep a clean sheet23%

Rennes win without conceding18%

Lille win without conceding17%

Rennes score 2 or more43%

Lille score 2 or more41%

Recent form

Rennes

W v Strasbourg3–0 · 25 Oct

L @ Paris FC3–4 · 18 Oct

W v Auxerre4–1 · 11 Oct

L @ Lyon0–4 · 19 Sep

W v Marseille1–0 · 11 Sep

Lille

D @ Monaco1–1 · 25 Oct

D v Brest1–1 · 17 Oct

W v Le Havre1–0 · 10 Oct

L @ Nice1–2 · 20 Sep

W v Troyes2–0 · 13 Sep

Head to head

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Rennes won 1, Lille won 5 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Rennes 1–2 Lille, a win for Lille.

Rennes 1–2 Lille15 Mar 2026

Lille 0–2 Rennes3 Jan 2026

Rennes 0–2 Lille16 Feb 2025

Lille 1–0 Rennes24 Nov 2024

Lille 2–2 Rennes10 Mar 2024

Rennes 2–2 Lille16 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

RELI

2.25

Goals

1.38

1.75

Conceded

0.75

2.02

1.38

2.19

xG against

1.66

16.1

Shots

11.2

6.1

On target

5.0

5.4

Corners

3.0

2.25

Yellow cards

1.62

25%

Clean sheets

50%

62%

Both score

50%

88%

3+ goals

25%

Questions and answers

Who will win Rennes vs Lille?

GossipBall gives Rennes a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lille 36%. GossipBall sees Rennes against Lille as too close to call.

What is the most likely score in Rennes vs Lille?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 1–0 (8%).

Will both teams score in Rennes vs Lille?

GossipBall gives a 59% chance that both Rennes and Lille score.

Will there be three or more goals in Rennes vs Lille?

There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.5 for Rennes, 1.4 for Lille).

When is Rennes vs Lille?

Kick-off is Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Rennes and Lille?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Rennes won 1, Lille won 5 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Rennes 1–2 Lille, a win for Lille.