GossipBall
Belgian Pro LeagueSunday 1 November 2026 ·

Lommel SK vs Gent prediction

Lommel SK
32%
home win
predicted score
1–2
8.2% chance
30%
draw
Gent
39%
away win
Win probability: home 32%, draw 30%, away 39%

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Gent slight favourites to beat Lommel SK away from home in the Belgian Pro League on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It gives Lommel SK a 32% chance of winning, puts the draw at 30% and gives Gent 39%.

GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Lommel SK and 1.3 from Gent, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 43% chance of three or more goals and a 49% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Lommel SK keep a clean sheet in 28% of outcomes, Gent in 33%.

Lommel SK are 8th in the table with 12 points from 9 games; Gent are 1st with 25. In their last five league games Lommel SK took 5 points (LLDWD) and Gent took 13 (WDWWW). This season Lommel SK average 1.01 expected goals (xG) for and 1.63 against per game; Gent average 1.28 for and 0.77 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 12:36 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
10
11
7
3
<1
<1
1
9
14
8
3
1
<1
2
6
7
5
2
<1
<1
3
2
3
2
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Lommel SK goalsColumns: Gent goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–114.1%
0–110.6%
0–010.2%
1–09.3%
1–28.2%
0–27.3%

Goals

Explained
1 or more goals
90%
2 or more goals
70%
3 or more goals
43%
4 or more goals
22%
5 or more goals
9%
Both teams score
49%

GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.12 for Lommel SK and 1.26 for Gent.

Winning margin

Explained
Lommel SK by 3
3%
Lommel SK by 2
9%
Lommel SK by 1
19%
Draw
30%
Gent by 3
4%
Gent by 2
11%
Gent by 1
21%

Each team's goals

Explained
Lommel SK expected goals1.12
Gent expected goals1.26
Lommel SK keep a clean sheet28%
Gent keep a clean sheet33%
Lommel SK win without conceding18%
Gent win without conceding22%
Lommel SK score 2 or more31%
Gent score 2 or more36%

Recent form

Lommel SK
D @ OH Leuven2–2 · 24 Oct
W @ Beveren3–1 · 9 Oct
D v Mechelen0–0 · 19 Sep
L @ Union SG0–5 · 12 Sep
L v Club Brugge0–1 · 4 Sep
Gent
W v Anderlecht4–0 · 25 Oct
W @ Waregem2–0 · 10 Oct
W v Standard2–1 · 18 Sep
D @ Genk1–1 · 13 Sep
W @ Cercle Brugge3–0 · 6 Sep

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

LSGE
1.22
Goals
2.11
1.22
Conceded
0.44
1.01
xG
1.28
1.63
xG against
0.77
11.3
Shots
11.9
3.1
On target
5.3
3.9
Corners
4.2
1.11
Yellow cards
1.56
33%
Clean sheets
56%
33%
Both score
44%
44%
3+ goals
56%

Questions and answers

Who will win Lommel SK vs Gent?

GossipBall gives Lommel SK a 32% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Gent 39%. GossipBall makes Gent slight favourites to beat Lommel SK away from home.

What is the predicted score for Lommel SK vs Gent?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Lommel SK, 1.3 for Gent). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 0–1 (11%), 0–0 (10%).

Will both teams score in Lommel SK vs Gent?

GossipBall gives a 49% chance that both Lommel SK and Gent score.

Will there be three or more goals in Lommel SK vs Gent?

There is a 43% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.1 for Lommel SK, 1.3 for Gent).

When is Lommel SK vs Gent?

Kick-off is Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 12:36 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]