Belgian Pro LeagueSunday 16 August 2026 · 17:15

Lommel vs Charleroi result and stats

Lommel

41%

test home win

0–1

full time

28%

draw

Charleroi

31%

test away win

Win probability: home 41%, draw 28%, away 31%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Charleroi won 1–0 away at Lommel in the Belgian Pro League on Sunday 16 August 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Lommel 41%, the draw 28% and Charleroi 31%, so an away win had a 31% chance. It would have been an upset.

On expected goals it finished Lommel 0.34, Charleroi 1.25, so Charleroi created the better chances. Lommel had 8 shots (0 on target) to Charleroi's 23 (5 on target).

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 3 November 2026, 00:40 UTC

Match stats

LOMCHA

0.34

Expected goals

1.25

Shots

On target

Corners

Fouls

Yellow cards

Red cards

Half-time goals

Recent form

Lommel

D @ Sint-Truiden1–1 · 8 Aug

Charleroi

W v OH Leuven3–1 · 9 Aug

W @ Standard Liège2–0 · 23 May

D v OH Leuven1–1 · 19 May

L v Westerlo0–1 · 16 May

W @ Antwerp1–0 · 10 May

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

LOMCHA

1.30

Goals

2.10

1.10

Conceded

1.20

1.04

1.90

1.60

xG against

1.13

11.8

Shots

17.2

3.5

On target

5.8

3.8

Corners

5.4

1.00

Yellow cards

1.60

40%

Clean sheets

40%

30%

Both score

50%

40%

3+ goals

60%