Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden result and stats
Win probability: home 38%, draw 26%, away 36%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMechelen beat Sint-Truiden 4–3 at home in the Belgian Pro League on Sunday 11 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Mechelen 38%, the draw 26% and Sint-Truiden 36%, so a home win had a 38% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Mechelen 0.74, Sint-Truiden 1.45, so Sint-Truiden created the better chances. Mechelen had 8 shots (3 on target) to Sint-Truiden's 17 (7 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MESI
0.74Expected goals1.45
8Shots17
3On target7
2Corners8
12Fouls14
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Half-time goals1
Recent form
Mechelen
D @ Lommel SK0–0 · 19 Sep
L v Anderlecht0–1 · 11 Sep
L v Westerlo0–4 · 5 Sep
D @ RAAL La Louviere2–2 · 29 Aug
L @ Charleroi0–2 · 22 Aug
Sint-Truiden
L v Westerlo0–2 · 20 Sep
L @ Beveren0–2 · 12 Sep
W v RAAL La Louviere4–0 · 5 Sep
L v Union SG0–3 · 2 Sep
W @ Antwerp4–1 · 30 Aug
Head to head
In 14 league meetings since 2021, Mechelen won 1, Sint-Truiden won 11 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Sint-Truiden 3–0 Mechelen, a win for Sint-Truiden.
Sint-Truiden 3–0 Mechelen24 May 2026
Mechelen 1–4 Sint-Truiden26 Apr 2026
Sint-Truiden 1–0 Mechelen21 Dec 2025
Mechelen 1–3 Sint-Truiden4 Oct 2025
Mechelen 1–1 Sint-Truiden21 Feb 2025
Sint-Truiden 2–1 Mechelen8 Nov 2024
Season averages per game
MESI
1.12Goals1.89
2.12Conceded2.11
1.16xG1.85
1.46xG against1.81
11.4Shots16.2
3.1On target4.4
4.6Corners5.2
1.62Yellow cards2.22
12%Clean sheets11%
38%Both score56%
50%3+ goals67%