Belgian Pro LeagueSaturday 12 September 2026 · Union SG vs Lommel result and stats
Win probability: home 54%, draw 30%, away 15%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersUnion SG beat Lommel 5–0 at home in the Belgian Pro League on Saturday 12 September 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Union SG 54%, the draw 30% and Lommel 15%, so a home win had a 54% chance. The favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Union SG 3.27, Lommel 0.65, so Union SG created the better chances. Union SG had 28 shots (12 on target) to Lommel's 11 (4 on target).
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 3 November 2026, 00:40 UTC
Match stats
USGLOM
3.27Expected goals0.65
28Shots11
12On target4
6Corners4
9Fouls3
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
Union SG
W @ Charleroi3–2 · 5 Sep
W @ Sint-Truiden3–0 · 2 Sep
W v Anderlecht3–0 · 30 Aug
D v Zulte Waregem0–0 · 15 Aug
W @ Westerlo5–1 · 8 Aug
Lommel
L v Club Brugge0–1 · 4 Sep
W @ Cercle Brugge1–0 · 29 Aug
W v Westerlo4–0 · 23 Aug
L v Charleroi0–1 · 16 Aug
D @ Sint-Truiden1–1 · 8 Aug
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
USGLOM
2.90Goals1.30
0.70Conceded1.10
1.86xG1.04
1.02xG against1.60
17.2Shots11.8
7.4On target3.5
6.3Corners3.8
1.60Yellow cards1.00
50%Clean sheets40%
50%Both score30%
70%3+ goals40%