Union SG vs OH Leuven result and stats
Win probability: home 76%, draw 18%, away 7%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersUnion SG and OH Leuven drew 1–1 in the Belgian Pro League on Sunday 11 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Union SG 76%, the draw 18% and OH Leuven 7%, so a draw had a 18% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Union SG 1.29, OH Leuven 1.35, so OH Leuven created the better chances. Union SG had 18 shots (2 on target) to OH Leuven's 14 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
USOL
1.29Expected goals1.35
18Shots14
2On target2
9Corners4
11Fouls11
0Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Union SG
W @ Antwerp2–0 · 20 Sep
W v Lommel SK5–0 · 12 Sep
W @ Charleroi3–2 · 5 Sep
W @ Sint-Truiden3–0 · 2 Sep
W v Anderlecht3–0 · 30 Aug
OH Leuven
W v RAAL La Louviere2–0 · 19 Sep
D v Cercle Brugge1–1 · 12 Sep
L @ Beveren0–3 · 6 Sep
L @ Gent0–1 · 3 Sep
L v Standard1–2 · 29 Aug
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Union SG won 7, OH Leuven won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
OH Leuven 0–0 Union SG24 Jan 2026
Union SG 5–0 OH Leuven3 Aug 2025
Union SG 1–0 OH Leuven19 Jan 2025
OH Leuven 1–1 Union SG24 Nov 2024
OH Leuven 0–2 Union SG2 Mar 2024
Union SG 5–1 OH Leuven12 Aug 2023
Season averages per game
USOL
3.00Goals0.89
0.67Conceded1.78
1.99xG1.32
1.08xG against1.71
18.0Shots14.2
7.8On target2.9
6.7Corners3.8
1.67Yellow cards2.11
56%Clean sheets11%
44%Both score56%
67%3+ goals56%