GossipBall
BundesligaSaturday 4 October 2025 ·

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig result and stats

49%
test home win
1–1
full time
24%
draw
27%
test away win
Win probability: home 49%, draw 24%, away 27%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig drew 1–1 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 4 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Borussia Dortmund 49%, the draw 24% and RB Leipzig 27%, so a draw had a 24% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

BDRL
15
Shots
13
3
On target
3
7
Corners
7
13
Fouls
14
1
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
1

Recent form

Borussia Dortmund
W @ Mainz2–0 · 27 Sep
W v Wolfsburg1–0 · 21 Sep
W @ Heidenheim2–0 · 13 Sep
W v Union Berlin3–0 · 31 Aug
D @ St Pauli3–3 · 23 Aug
RB Leipzig
W @ Wolfsburg1–0 · 27 Sep
W v FC Köln3–1 · 20 Sep
W @ Mainz1–0 · 13 Sep
W v Heidenheim2–0 · 30 Aug
L @ Bayern Munich0–6 · 22 Aug

Head to head

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Borussia Dortmund won 2, RB Leipzig won 6 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Mar 2025, finished RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund, a win for RB Leipzig.

RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund15 Mar 2025
Borussia Dortmund 2–1 RB Leipzig2 Nov 2024
RB Leipzig 4–1 Borussia Dortmund27 Apr 2024
Borussia Dortmund 2–3 RB Leipzig9 Dec 2023
Borussia Dortmund 2–1 RB Leipzig3 Mar 2023
RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Dortmund10 Sep 2022

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]