GossipBall
BundesligaSaturday 17 January 2026 ·

Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli result and stats

69%
test home win
3–2
full time
22%
draw
St Pauli
9%
test away win
Win probability: home 69%, draw 22%, away 9%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Borussia Dortmund beat St Pauli 3–2 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Borussia Dortmund 69%, the draw 22% and St Pauli 9%, so a home win had a 69% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

BDSP
10
Shots
9
6
On target
5
5
Corners
5
9
Fouls
11
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Borussia Dortmund
W v Werder Bremen3–0 · 13 Jan
D @ Eintracht Frankfurt3–3 · 9 Jan
W v Gladbach2–0 · 19 Dec
D @ Freiburg1–1 · 14 Dec
W v Hoffenheim2–0 · 7 Dec
St Pauli
L @ Wolfsburg1–2 · 14 Jan
D @ Mainz0–0 · 21 Dec
W v Heidenheim2–1 · 13 Dec
D @ FC Köln1–1 · 6 Dec
L @ Bayern Munich1–3 · 29 Nov

Head to head

In 3 league meetings since 2024, Borussia Dortmund won 2, St Pauli won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 23 Aug 2025, was a 3–3 draw.

St Pauli 3–3 Borussia Dortmund23 Aug 2025
St Pauli 0–2 Borussia Dortmund1 Mar 2025
Borussia Dortmund 2–1 St Pauli18 Oct 2024

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]