Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig result and stats
Win probability: home 26%, draw 23%, away 51%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersHoffenheim beat RB Leipzig 3–1 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 8 November 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Hoffenheim 26%, the draw 23% and RB Leipzig 51%, so a home win had a 26% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
HORL
12Shots17
4On target5
5Corners5
13Fouls5
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals1
Recent form
Hoffenheim
W @ Wolfsburg3–2 · 2 Nov
W v Heidenheim3–1 · 25 Oct
W @ St Pauli3–0 · 19 Oct
L v FC Köln0–1 · 3 Oct
D @ Freiburg1–1 · 28 Sep
RB Leipzig
W v Stuttgart3–1 · 1 Nov
W @ Augsburg6–0 · 25 Oct
W v Hamburg2–1 · 18 Oct
D @ Borussia Dortmund1–1 · 4 Oct
W @ Wolfsburg1–0 · 27 Sep
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Hoffenheim won 2, RB Leipzig won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 5 Apr 2025, finished RB Leipzig 3–1 Hoffenheim, a win for RB Leipzig.
RB Leipzig 3–1 Hoffenheim5 Apr 2025
Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig23 Nov 2024
Hoffenheim 1–1 RB Leipzig3 May 2024
RB Leipzig 3–1 Hoffenheim16 Dec 2023
RB Leipzig 1–0 Hoffenheim29 Apr 2023
Hoffenheim 1–3 RB Leipzig5 Nov 2022