GossipBall
BundesligaSaturday 8 November 2025 ·

Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig result and stats

26%
test home win
3–1
full time
23%
draw
51%
test away win
Win probability: home 26%, draw 23%, away 51%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Hoffenheim beat RB Leipzig 3–1 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 8 November 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Hoffenheim 26%, the draw 23% and RB Leipzig 51%, so a home win had a 26% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

HORL
12
Shots
17
4
On target
5
5
Corners
5
13
Fouls
5
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
2
Half-time goals
1

Recent form

Hoffenheim
W @ Wolfsburg3–2 · 2 Nov
W v Heidenheim3–1 · 25 Oct
W @ St Pauli3–0 · 19 Oct
L v FC Köln0–1 · 3 Oct
D @ Freiburg1–1 · 28 Sep
RB Leipzig
W v Stuttgart3–1 · 1 Nov
W @ Augsburg6–0 · 25 Oct
W v Hamburg2–1 · 18 Oct
D @ Borussia Dortmund1–1 · 4 Oct
W @ Wolfsburg1–0 · 27 Sep

Head to head

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Hoffenheim won 2, RB Leipzig won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 5 Apr 2025, finished RB Leipzig 3–1 Hoffenheim, a win for RB Leipzig.

RB Leipzig 3–1 Hoffenheim5 Apr 2025
Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig23 Nov 2024
Hoffenheim 1–1 RB Leipzig3 May 2024
RB Leipzig 3–1 Hoffenheim16 Dec 2023
RB Leipzig 1–0 Hoffenheim29 Apr 2023
Hoffenheim 1–3 RB Leipzig5 Nov 2022

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]