Hoffenheim vs St Pauli result and stats
Win probability: home 58%, draw 25%, away 17%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersSt Pauli won 1–0 away at Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on Saturday 28 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Hoffenheim 58%, the draw 25% and St Pauli 17%, so an away win had a 17% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
HOSP
20Shots11
11On target3
10Corners3
13Fouls7
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Hoffenheim
D @ FC Köln2–2 · 21 Feb
W v Freiburg3–0 · 14 Feb
L @ Bayern Munich1–5 · 8 Feb
W v Union Berlin3–1 · 31 Jan
W @ Werder Bremen2–0 · 27 Jan
St Pauli
W v Werder Bremen2–1 · 22 Feb
L @ Bayer Leverkusen0–4 · 14 Feb
W v Stuttgart2–1 · 7 Feb
L @ Augsburg1–2 · 31 Jan
D v RB Leipzig1–1 · 27 Jan
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2024, Hoffenheim won 1, St Pauli won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Oct 2025, finished St Pauli 0–3 Hoffenheim, a win for Hoffenheim.
St Pauli 0–3 Hoffenheim19 Oct 2025
St Pauli 1–0 Hoffenheim14 Mar 2025
Hoffenheim 0–2 St Pauli2 Nov 2024