GossipBall
BundesligaSaturday 21 February 2026 ·

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund result and stats

36%
test home win
2–2
full time
25%
draw
39%
test away win
Win probability: home 36%, draw 25%, away 39%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund drew 2–2 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 21 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave RB Leipzig 36%, the draw 25% and Borussia Dortmund 39%, so a draw had a 25% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

RLBD
13
Shots
11
3
On target
5
6
Corners
2
11
Fouls
17
3
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
2
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

RB Leipzig
D v Wolfsburg2–2 · 15 Feb
W @ FC Köln2–1 · 8 Feb
L v Mainz1–2 · 31 Jan
D @ St Pauli1–1 · 27 Jan
W @ Heidenheim3–0 · 24 Jan
Borussia Dortmund
W v Mainz4–0 · 13 Feb
W @ Wolfsburg2–1 · 7 Feb
W v Heidenheim3–2 · 1 Feb
W @ Union Berlin3–0 · 24 Jan
W v St Pauli3–2 · 17 Jan

Head to head

In 9 league meetings since 2021, RB Leipzig won 6, Borussia Dortmund won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 4 Oct 2025, was a 1–1 draw.

Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig4 Oct 2025
RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund15 Mar 2025
Borussia Dortmund 2–1 RB Leipzig2 Nov 2024
RB Leipzig 4–1 Borussia Dortmund27 Apr 2024
Borussia Dortmund 2–3 RB Leipzig9 Dec 2023
Borussia Dortmund 2–1 RB Leipzig3 Mar 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]