St Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen result and stats
Win probability: home 18%, draw 28%, away 53%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersBayer Leverkusen won 2–1 away at St Pauli in the Bundesliga on Saturday 27 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave St Pauli 18%, the draw 28% and Bayer Leverkusen 53%, so an away win had a 53% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
SPBL
13Shots5
6On target4
13Corners1
13Fouls11
3Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
St Pauli
L @ Stuttgart0–2 · 19 Sep
W v Augsburg2–1 · 14 Sep
W @ Hamburg2–0 · 29 Aug
D v Borussia Dortmund3–3 · 23 Aug
L v Bochum0–2 · 17 May
Bayer Leverkusen
D v Gladbach1–1 · 21 Sep
W v Eintracht Frankfurt3–1 · 12 Sep
D @ Werder Bremen3–3 · 30 Aug
L v Hoffenheim1–2 · 23 Aug
D @ Mainz2–2 · 17 May
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2024, St Pauli won 0, Bayer Leverkusen won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 20 Apr 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
St Pauli 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen20 Apr 2025
Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 St Pauli7 Dec 2024