St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund result and stats
Win probability: home 19%, draw 30%, away 51%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersSt Pauli and Borussia Dortmund drew 3–3 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 23 August 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave St Pauli 19%, the draw 30% and Borussia Dortmund 51%, so a draw had a 30% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
SPBD
11Shots8
7On target7
5Corners2
13Fouls12
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
St Pauli
L v Bochum0–2 · 17 May
D @ Eintracht Frankfurt2–2 · 11 May
L v Stuttgart0–1 · 3 May
D @ Werder Bremen0–0 · 27 Apr
D v Bayer Leverkusen1–1 · 20 Apr
Borussia Dortmund
W v Holstein Kiel3–0 · 17 May
W @ Bayer Leverkusen4–2 · 11 May
W v Wolfsburg4–0 · 3 May
W @ Hoffenheim3–2 · 26 Apr
W v Gladbach3–2 · 20 Apr
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2024, St Pauli won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2025, finished St Pauli 0–2 Borussia Dortmund, a win for Borussia Dortmund.
St Pauli 0–2 Borussia Dortmund1 Mar 2025
Borussia Dortmund 2–1 St Pauli18 Oct 2024