St Pauli vs RB Leipzig result and stats
Win probability: home 18%, draw 29%, away 53%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersSt Pauli and RB Leipzig drew 1–1 in the Bundesliga on Tuesday 27 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave St Pauli 18%, the draw 29% and RB Leipzig 53%, so a draw had a 29% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
SPRL
7Shots12
2On target5
4Corners3
6Fouls8
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
St Pauli
D v Hamburg0–0 · 23 Jan
L @ Borussia Dortmund2–3 · 17 Jan
L @ Wolfsburg1–2 · 14 Jan
D @ Mainz0–0 · 21 Dec
W v Heidenheim2–1 · 13 Dec
RB Leipzig
W @ Heidenheim3–0 · 24 Jan
L v Bayern Munich1–5 · 17 Jan
W v Freiburg2–0 · 14 Jan
L v Bayer Leverkusen1–3 · 20 Dec
L @ Union Berlin1–3 · 12 Dec
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2024, St Pauli won 0, RB Leipzig won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 9 Feb 2025, finished RB Leipzig 2–0 St Pauli, a win for RB Leipzig.
RB Leipzig 2–0 St Pauli9 Feb 2025
St Pauli 0–0 RB Leipzig22 Sep 2024